Formula 1 Preview: Azerbaijan Grand Prix

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Venue & Race Details

Race: Formula 1 Qatar Airways Azerbaijan Grand Prix 2025

Location: Baku City Circuit, Baku, Azerbaijan

Circuit Length: 6.003 km (3.73 miles)

Laps: 51

Race Distance: 306.049 km (190.17 miles)

First Grand Prix: 2016 (as European GP), 2017 as Azerbaijan GP

Lap Record: 1:43.009 – Charles Leclerc (2019)

Weather Forecast (Baku)

Friday (Practice): Sunny, highs of 82°F (28°C), light winds

Saturday (Qualifying): Partly cloudy, 80°F (27°C), breezy conditions

Sunday (Race Day): Clear skies, 78°F (26°C), minimal rain risk

Perfect racing weather is expected, with track temperatures favoring aggressive tire strategies.

Driver & Team News

Max Verstappen (Red Bull): Fresh off a dominant win at Monza, Verstappen looks to carry momentum into Baku.

McLaren (Lando Norris & Oscar Piastri): McLaren’s intra-team rivalry continues to be a storyline, with Norris and Piastri battling for supremacy.

Ferrari (Charles Leclerc & Carlos Sainz): Leclerc has a strong record in Baku, including multiple poles. Ferrari will look to capitalize on straight-line speed.

Mercedes (George Russell & Lewis Hamilton): Searching for consistency, Mercedes must maximize strategy to stay in the fight.

Aston Martin (Fernando Alonso): Veteran Alonso thrives on street circuits and could be a dark horse.

Key Storylines

McLaren’s Title Push: McLaren could mathematically clinch the Constructors’ Championship earlier than any team in F1 history if results go their way.

Red Bull Resurgence: Verstappen’s Monza win suggests Red Bull may have rediscovered form at the right time. Can they repeat in Baku’s tricky setup window?

Safety Car Factor: The Azerbaijan GP has a history of chaos—safety cars and red flags are common, often flipping strategies upside down.

Ferrari’s Qualifying Edge: Leclerc’s one-lap pace in Baku has been exceptional; the question is whether Ferrari can convert pole into victory.

Recent Team Form

Red Bull: Verstappen back on top at Monza, Tsunoda showing improved qualifying pace.

McLaren: Norris and Piastri consistently on podiums, but team orders have stirred controversy.

Ferrari: Strong qualifying, but race pace and tire degradation remain concerns.

Mercedes: Flashes of speed, but lacking consistency in long runs.

Series History

Past Winners:

2024: Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)

2023: Sergio Pérez (Red Bull)

2022: Max Verstappen (Red Bull)

2021: Sergio Pérez (Red Bull)

Unique Feature: The castle section (Turns 8–12) is one of the narrowest and most iconic sequences in F1, often deciding qualifying laps and race fortunes.

Betting Trends

Red Bull & McLaren have dominated 2025 podiums.

Ferrari often qualify well in Baku but struggle to convert.

Safety Car Probability: Extremely high; bettors often back “Yes” for safety car deployment.

Underdogs: Street circuits have produced surprise podiums (Stroll 2017, Gasly 2021).

Historical Betting Results

2024: Leclerc won at +600 odds.

2023: Pérez cashed at +400.

2022: Verstappen delivered as the favorite at +200.

Trend: Baku rewards both favorites and opportunists—chaos creates value for longshots.

DRIVER                                                 ODDS

Oscar Piastri                                      + 180

Lando Norris                                      + 185

Max Verstappen                              + 380

Charles Leclerc                                  + 550

George Russell                                 + 1800

Lewis Hamilton                                 + 2200

Andrea Kimi Antonelli                   + 10000

Yuki Tsunoda                                     + 25000

Nico Hulkenberg                              + 25000

Liam Lawson                                      + 25000

Isack Hadjar                                       + 25000

Gabriel Bortoleto                             + 25000

Fernando Alonso                             + 25000

Carlos Sainz                                        + 25000

Alexander Albon                              + 25000

Oliver Bearman                                + 30000

Lance Stroll                                        + 30000

Esteban Ocon                                    + 30000

Pierre Gasly                                       + 40000

Franco Colapinto                             + 50000

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, September 19, 2025