Kickoff: 7:00 PM PT / 10:00 PM ET
Venue: UC Davis Health Stadium, Davis, California (Capacity: ~10,743)
Broadcast: ESPN+
Weather Forecast (Davis, CA)
Temperature: ~88°F (31°C) at kickoff, cooling into the mid-70s by the 4th quarter
Conditions: Clear skies, low humidity, light winds (5–7 mph)
Impact: Warm but favorable conditions for an up-tempo passing game.
Injury Report
Southern Utah (1–2, United Athletic Conference):
QB B. Barron – Healthy; 532 passing yards, 6 TDs through two games.
RB J. Dye – Healthy; 212 rushing yards, 2 TDs.
WR G. Nunez – Healthy; 168 receiving yards, 2 TDs.
Defense – No major injuries reported.
UC Davis (1–1, Big Sky):
QB C. Pinnick – Healthy; 303 passing yards, 4 TDs, 2 INTs.
RB J. Fisher – Healthy; 117 rushing yards, 1 TD.
WR S. Gbatu Jr. – Healthy; 102 receiving yards, 2 TDs.
Defense – No major injuries reported.
Key Player Matchups
QB Barron (SUU) vs. UC Davis Secondary
Barron has been efficient with 6 TDs; UC Davis must pressure him to force mistakes.
RB J. Dye (SUU) vs. UC Davis Front Seven
Dye is averaging nearly 6 YPC; UC Davis must contain him to avoid play-action damage.
QB Pinnick (UCD) vs. SUU Linebackers
Pinnick has shown red-zone efficiency; SUU must disguise coverages.
WR Gbatu Jr. (UCD) vs. SUU Corners
Gbatu is Pinnick’s top target; SUU must prevent explosive plays.
Recent Team Form
Southern Utah Thunderbirds (1–2)
9/6: L 30–27 (OT) @ South Dakota
8/30: W 46–24 vs. Idaho State
11/23/24: W 37–34 (2OT) vs. Utah Tech
Trend: Offense averaging 34.3 PPG; defense allowing 28.0 PPG.
UC Davis Aggies (1–1)
9/6: L 70–10 @ Washington (FBS)
8/30: W 31–24 @ Utah Tech
12/14/24: L 35–21 @ South Dakota (FCS Playoffs)
Trend: Offense averaging 20.5 PPG; defense allowing 47.0 PPG (skewed by FBS loss).
Series History
All-time series: UC Davis leads 5–2.
Last meeting: 2022 – UC Davis won 41–21.
Southern Utah’s last win came in 2017 (54–27).
Betting Trends
Southern Utah:
3–2 SU in last 5 games.
3–2 ATS in last 5.
Overs hit in 3 of last 5.
UC Davis:
2–3 SU in last 5 games.
2–3 ATS in last 5.
Overs hit in 2 of last 5.
Head-to-Head: UC Davis has won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
Historical Betting Results
Southern Utah: Covers more often as a road underdog; overs common in high-scoring Big Sky/UAC crossovers.
UC Davis: Stronger ATS at home; unders more frequent when defense controls tempo.
Big Sky vs. UAC Trends: Big Sky teams cover ~58% of the time in September non-conference games.
Game Odds
Southern Utah Thunderbirds 51.5
UC Davis Aggies – 3.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 19, 2025
