FCS-CFB Game Preview: Mercer Bears (2-1) vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers (2-2)

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Venue & Game Details

Matchup: Mercer Bears vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Kickoff Time: 2:30 PM ET

Venue: William B. Greene Jr. Stadium, Johnson City, Tennessee

Capacity: ~7,694

Broadcast: ESPN+

Weather Forecast (Johnson City, TN)

Kickoff Temperature: ~74°F (23°C)

Conditions: Partly sunny, mild

Wind: 5–8 mph from the northwest

Precipitation: ~10% chance of light showers

Impact: Ideal fall football weather; no disruptions expected.

Injury Report

Mercer Bears:

QB Drew Smith – healthy, 154 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT in last outing.

RB Micah Bell – healthy, 32 rushing yards last game.

WR Brandon Smith – healthy, 56 yards receiving.

No major injuries reported.

ETSU Buccaneers:

QB Cade McNamara – healthy, 231 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT vs. Mercer in last meeting.

RB David Houston – healthy, 119 rushing yards, 2 TDs in that game.

WR Elijah Floyd – healthy, 78 yards receiving.

No major injuries reported.

Key Player Matchups

QB Drew Smith (Mercer) vs. ETSU Secondary

Smith is still settling in but has shown poise.

ETSU has allowed nearly 200 passing ypg this season.

RB David Houston (ETSU) vs. Mercer Front Seven

Houston is the Bucs’ workhorse, averaging 100+ ypg.

Mercer’s defense has been stout against the run, allowing just 130 ypg.

WR Elijah Floyd (ETSU) vs. Mercer Corners

Floyd leads ETSU in receptions and is a reliable chain-mover.

Mercer’s secondary has been opportunistic, with multiple INTs this season.

Mercer O-Line vs. ETSU Pass Rush

Mercer has allowed few sacks, but ETSU averages nearly 3 per game.

Recent Team Form

Mercer Bears (2–1)

W 38–0 @ The Citadel (Week 4)

W 22–21 vs. Wofford (Week 3)

L 15–10 vs. Presbyterian (Week 1)

Strengths: Balanced offense, improving defense.

Weaknesses: Passing game still inconsistent.

ETSU Buccaneers (2–2)

L 72–17 @ Tennessee (Week 2, FBS)

W 45–17 vs. Murray State (Week 1)

W 16–9 @ VMI (2024 finale)

L 24–21 vs. Furman (2024)

Strengths: Strong rushing attack, efficient QB play.

Weaknesses: Secondary gives up big plays.

Conference vs. Conference

Both are members of the Southern Conference (SoCon).

This is a conference matchup with Mercer looking to stay unbeaten in league play and ETSU seeking its first SoCon win of 2025.

Series History

All-time series: ETSU leads 19–9.

Last meeting (Nov 2, 2024): Mercer won 37–31.

Trend: Mercer has won 2 of the last 3, but ETSU has historically dominated at home.

Betting Trends

Mercer Bears:

2–1 ATS in 2025.

5–2 ATS in last 7 SoCon games.

4 of last 6 games have gone Under.

ETSU Buccaneers:

1–3 ATS in 2025.

2–6 ATS in last 8 SoCon games.

3 of last 4 games have gone Over.

Historical Betting Results

2024: Mercer -3 covered in 37–31 win (Over cashed).

2023: ETSU +7 covered in 27–24 win (Under cashed).

2022: Mercer -6.5 covered in 34–16 win (Under cashed).

Game Odds

Mercer Bears                                                     – 2.5

East Tennessee State Buccaneers             51

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 26, 2025