FCS-CFB Game Preview: Elon Phoenix (2-1) vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers (1-2)

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Kickoff: 2:30 PM ET
Venue: William B. Greene Jr. Stadium, Johnson City, Tennessee (Capacity: ~7,694)
Broadcast: ESPN+

Weather Forecast (Johnson City, TN)

Temperature: ~83°F (28°C) at kickoff, cooling into the upper 70s by the 4th quarter

Conditions: Mostly sunny, light winds (5–7 mph)

Impact: Warm but manageable; stamina and hydration could be factors late.

Injury Report

Elon Phoenix (CAA):

QB Landen Clark – Healthy, coming off 377 total yards and 4 TDs vs. Western Carolina.

RB Jaden Williams – Healthy, 120 yards rushing and 1 TD vs. Davidson.

WR Logan Backey – Healthy, 118 yards and 2 TDs vs. Davidson.

ETSU Buccaneers (SoCon):

QB Caleb McNamara – Healthy, 231 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT vs. Murray State.

RB David Houston – Healthy, 119 yards, 2 TDs vs. Murray State.

WR Evan Floyd – Healthy, 9 catches, 78 yards vs. Murray State.

Key Player Matchups

QB Landen Clark (Elon) vs. ETSU Secondary

Clark has been dynamic as both passer and runner, earning CAA Rookie of the Week honors.

RB David Houston (ETSU) vs. Elon Front Seven

Houston’s physical running style could control tempo if ETSU establishes the ground game.

WR Logan Backey (Elon) vs. ETSU Corners

Backey’s big-play ability (118 yards, 2 TDs vs. Davidson) makes him a constant threat.

QB Caleb McNamara (ETSU) vs. Elon Pass Rush

McNamara must avoid turnovers against a Phoenix defense that thrives on pressure.

Recent Team Form

Elon Phoenix (2–1, CAA)

9/13: W 37–31 @ Western Carolina

9/6: W 55–7 vs. Davidson

8/28: L 45–17 @ Duke (FBS)

Trend: Offense averaging 36.3 PPG in FCS play; Clark emerging as a dual-threat star.

ETSU Buccaneers (1–2, SoCon)

9/13: L 35–31 vs. #22 West Georgia

9/6: L 72–17 @ Tennessee (FBS)

8/30: W 45–17 vs. Murray State

Trend: Offense productive (31 PPG in FCS games), but defense allowing 40+ in two of three contests.

Series History

All-time: ETSU leads 3–1.

Last meeting (2024): ETSU won 34–14 at Elon.

Elon’s last win came in the early 2000s.

Betting Trends

Elon:

4–1 SU in last 5 games.

4–1 ATS in last 5.

Overs hit in 3 of last 5.

ETSU:

2–3 SU in last 5 games.

0–4 ATS in last 4.

Overs hit in 3 of last 5.

Head-to-Head: ETSU has won 2 straight, including last year’s 34–14 win.

Historical Betting Results

Elon: Profitable ATS in September non-conference games; overs common when Clark is efficient.

ETSU: Struggles ATS recently, especially as a small favorite; overs frequent when defense falters.

CAA vs. SoCon Trends: CAA teams cover ~55% of the time in September cross-conference matchups.

Game Odds

Elon Phoenix                                                     61.5

East Tennessee State Buccaneers             – 1.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 19, 2025