FBS-CFB Game Preview: UCLA Bruins (1-4) vs. Michigan State Spartans (3-2)

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Venue & Game Details

Stadium: Spartan Stadium (Capacity: 74,866, natural grass)

Location: East Lansing, Michigan

Kickoff Time: 12:00 PM ET / 9:00 AM PT

Broadcast: Big Ten Network (Mark Followill, Yogi Roth, Rhett Lewis)

Occasion: Michigan State’s 109th Homecoming Game [7]

Weather Forecast (East Lansing, MI)

Conditions: Partly cloudy, mild fall afternoon

Kickoff Temp: 64°F (18°C)

Wind: 7–10 mph

Precipitation:

Impact: Excellent football weather; slight wind could affect long field goals.

Injury Report

UCLA Bruins

QB Pierce Clarkson – OUT (suspension)

QB Karson Gordon – OUT (knee, season-ending)

DL Anthony Jones – Questionable

WR Carter Shaw – Questionable

Michigan State Spartans

WR Alante Brown – OUT (lower body)

LB Wayne Matthews III – OUT (lower body, late November return)

OL Stanton Ramil – OUT (knee, Nov. return)

DB Nikai Martinez – OUT

DB Ade Willie – OUT

K Tarik Ahmetbasic – OUT

LS Kaden Schickel – OUT

(Both teams are missing depth pieces; UCLA is thin at QB, MSU at LB/secondary.)

Key Player Matchups

QB Nico Iamaleava (UCLA) vs. MSU Secondary

Iamaleava: 954 yards, 6 TDs, 3 INTs, 66.2% completion; also 332 rushing yards, 4 TDs

MSU Pass Defense: Allowing 249.6 YPG (#110 FBS).

RB Anthony Woods (UCLA) vs. MSU Front Seven

Woods: 190 yards rushing, 103 receiving yards, 1 TD.

MSU Run Defense: 109.8 YPG allowed (#33 FBS).

QB Aidan Chiles (MSU) vs. UCLA Pass Defense

Chiles: 953 yards, 9 TDs, 3 INTs, 63.2% completion; 177 rushing yards, 4 TDs

UCLA Pass Defense: 175.2 YPG allowed (#26 FBS).

WR Kwazi Gilmer (UCLA) vs. CB Malik Spencer (MSU)

Gilmer: 304 yards, 2 TDs.

Spencer: 21 tackles, 2 TFL, 2 sacks.


RB Makhi Frazier (MSU)
vs. UCLA Run Defense

Frazier: 325 yards, 2 TDs.

UCLA Run Defense: 217.6 YPG allowed (#129 FBS).

Recent Team Form

UCLA Bruins

Last game: Upset #7 Penn State 42-37 (first win of season).

Offense: 344 YPG (#105), 19.8 PPG (#114).

Defense: 392.8 YPG allowed (#97), 32.4 PPG allowed (#124).

Strength: Red-zone offense (100% scoring, #1 nationally).

Weakness: Run defense, penalties (74 YPG, #122).

Michigan State Spartans

Last game: Lost 38-27 at Nebraska.

Offense: 347.4 YPG (#100), 32.8 PPG (#50).

Defense: 359.4 YPG allowed (#68), 30.6 PPG allowed (#113).

Strength: Time of possession (31:48 avg, #31).

Weakness: Red-zone defense (90.9% scoring allowed, #104).

Series History

All-Time Record: Tied 3-3

Last Meeting: 1974 – UCLA 56, MSU 14 (Pasadena).

At East Lansing: Series tied 1-1.

Notable: First meeting in 51 years; three prior Rose Bowl matchups (MSU 2-1).

Betting Trends

UCLA:

2-3 ATS this season.

1-0 ATS as underdog of 8+ points.

2 of 5 games Over.

Michigan State:

2-3 ATS this season.

0-2 ATS as favorite of 8+ points.

4 of 5 games Over.

Totals:

Implied score: MSU 32, UCLA 24.

Public leaning Over; sharp money on MSU spread [11].

Historical Betting Results

1974: UCLA – covered (56-14).

1973: UCLA +7, upset win (34-21).

1966 Rose Bowl: UCLA +7, upset win (14-12).

1965: MSU -10, covered (13-3).

1956 Rose Bowl: MSU -3, covered (17-14).

1954 Rose Bowl: MSU -7, covered (28-20).

Projected Score: Michigan State 34, UCLA 26

Game Odds

UCLA Bruins                                       52.5

Michigan State Spartans               + 7

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 10, 2025