FBS-CFB Game Preview: Texas Longhorns (3-1) vs. Florida Gators (1-3)

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Time: 3:30 PM ET (ABC/ESPN)
Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium (“The Swamp”), 157 Gale Lemerand Drive, Gainesville, FL 32611
Capacity: 88,548

Weather Forecast

Kickoff: 83°F, humid (69%), scattered thunderstorms possible

End of Game: ~78°F, cloudy with light rain chances

Wind: 7–10 mph

Impact: Humidity and potential showers could affect ball security and kicking

Injury Report

Texas:

RB CJ Baxter – Questionable (ankle)

RB Quintrevion Wisner – Out (undisclosed)

WR Emmett Mosley – Out (shoulder)

Florida:

WR Dallas Wilson – Probable (leg, returning after missing first 4 games)

WR J. Michael Sturdivant – Questionable (upper-body)

WR Aidan Mizell – Probable (minor setback, expected to play)

DB Aaron Gates – Day-to-day (upper-body)

DL George Gumbs Jr. – Out

DT Michai Boireau – Out

Key Player Matchups

Quarterbacks:

Texas: Arch Manning – 888 yds, 9 TD, 3 INT, 61.3% comp, plus 123 rush yds & 5 TD

Florida: DJ Lagway – 690 yds, 5 TD, 6 INT, 67.5% comp

Running Backs:

Texas: Jerrick Gibson – 155 yds, 1 TD

Florida: Jadan Baugh – 289 yds, 2 TD

Receivers:

Texas: Parker Livingstone – 232 yds, 3 TD

Florida: Vernell Brown III – 219 yds

Defensive Leaders:

Texas: Liona Lefau – 20 tackles; Jelani McDonald – 2 INT

Florida: Myles Graham – 23 tackles; Tyreak Sapp – 1 sack

Recent Team Form

Texas (3-1, 0-0 SEC):

W 55-0 vs Sam Houston

W 27-10 vs UTEP

W 38-7 vs San Jose State

L 14-7 @ Ohio State

Florida (1-3, 0-1 SEC):

L 26-7 @ Miami

L 20-10 @ LSU

L 18-16 vs USF

W 55-0 vs LIU

Team Records

Texas: 3-1 overall, 0-0 SEC

Florida: 1-3 overall, 0-1 SEC

Series History

All-Time: Texas leads 3–0–1

Last Meeting (2024): Texas 49, Florida 17 in Austin

First Meeting: 1924 (7-7 tie)

Note: First Texas trip to The Swamp since 1940

Betting Trends

Texas: 1-3 ATS in 2025; 3 of 4 games UNDER

Florida: 1-3 ATS; all 4 games UNDER

Situational: Florida 6-1 ATS in last 7 home games; Texas 11-1 SU in last 12 road games

Sharp Action: Line opened Texas -7, moved to -6.5 with buyback on Florida; heavy money on UNDER

Historical Betting Results

2024: Texas 49, Florida 17 (Texas -21.5 covered, Over 47.5 hit)

1940: Texas 26, Florida 0 (no betting data)

1939: Texas 12, Florida 0 (no betting data)

1924: 7-7 tie

Projected Score: Texas 24, Florida 13

Game Odds

Texas Longhorns               – 6.5

Florida Gators                   41.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 3, 2025