Venue & Kickoff
Matchup: San Diego State Aztecs (9–2) vs. New Mexico Lobos (8–3)
Location: University Stadium, Albuquerque, New Mexico
Kickoff: 3:30 PM ET / 1:30 PM MT
Broadcast: CBS Sports Network
Weather Update
Forecast for Albuquerque:
Temperature: 52°F at kickoff, dropping into the mid‑40s°F by evening
Conditions: Clear skies, light winds (5–10 mph)
Impact: Ideal football weather; passing and kicking games should not be hindered.
Injury Report
San Diego State Aztecs:
QB Jalen Mayden (healthy, expected starter)
RB Lucky Sutton (probable, minor ankle sprain)
WR Mekhi Shaw (questionable, hamstring)
LB Cody Moon (healthy, team’s leading tackler)
New Mexico Lobos:
QB Jacory Croskey-Merritt (healthy, dual-threat leader)
RB Christian Washington (probable, shoulder soreness)
WR Caleb Medford (healthy, top deep threat)
DB Tavian Combs (questionable, knee)
Team Recent Form
San Diego State:
Riding a 5-game win streak, most recently defeating Fresno State 27–17.
Offense averaging 27.8 PPG, defense allowing 18.6 PPG (top 20 nationally).
New Mexico:
Won 3 of last 4, including a 31–24 victory over UNLV.
Offense averaging 29.1 PPG, defense allowing 24.7 PPG.
Strong home record (5–1 in Albuquerque).
Player Matchups
QB Jalen Mayden (SDSU) vs. New Mexico Secondary
Mayden (2,400 yards, 18 TD, 7 INT) must exploit Lobos’ inconsistent pass defense.
RB Lucky Sutton (SDSU) vs. LB Tavian Combs (UNM)
Sutton (850 yards, 9 TD) is SDSU’s workhorse; Combs leads UNM in tackles.
WR Mekhi Shaw (SDSU) vs. CB A.J. Haulcy (UNM)
Shaw (620 yards, 5 TD) is SDSU’s top receiver; Haulcy has 3 INT this season.
QB Jacory Croskey-Merritt (UNM) vs. SDSU Front Seven
Croskey-Merritt (2,100 total yards, 22 TD) is a dual-threat; SDSU’s defense ranks top 25 vs. run.
WR Caleb Medford (UNM) vs. CB Dez Malone (SDSU)
Medford (710 yards, 6 TD) is UNM’s deep threat; Malone is SDSU’s shutdown corner.
Series History
All-time: San Diego State leads the series 28–16.
Recent: SDSU has won 9 of the last 10 meetings, including a 24–10 victory in 2024.
Note: New Mexico last defeated SDSU in 2016.
Betting Trends:
SDSU: 7–4 ATS, 6 Unders in 11 games.
UNM: 6–5 ATS, 7 Overs in 11 games.
Head-to-head: SDSU has covered in 7 of last 10 meetings.
Projected Score: San Diego State 27, New Mexico 17
Bottom Line
This Mountain West clash features two strong teams, but San Diego State’s elite defense and balanced attack should prevail. New Mexico’s home-field advantage and Croskey-Merritt’s playmaking keep it competitive, yet the Aztecs’ consistency makes them the safer bet.
Game Odds
San Diego State Aztecs – 1
New Mexico Lobos 41
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Thursday, November 27, 2025
