FBS-CFB Game Preview: Northwestern Wildcats (3-2) vs. Penn State Nittany Lions (3-2)

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Venue & Game Details

Stadium: West Shore Home Field at Beaver Stadium (Capacity: 106,572)

Location: University Park, Pennsylvania

Kickoff Time: 3:30 PM ET

Broadcast: FS1 (Connor Onion & Mark Helfrich on the call)

Theme: Penn State Homecoming & “Stripe Out” game

Weather Forecast (State College, PA)

Conditions: Partly cloudy, progressively cloudier during the game

High: 64°F (18°C)

Wind: Gusts up to 12 mph

Impact: Mild fall weather, slight wind could affect deep passing and kicking accuracy.

Injury Report

Penn State Nittany Lions

LB Tony Rojas – OUT (undisclosed, major loss at linebacker)

WR Kaden Saunders, Peter Gonzalez, Josiah Brown, Lyrick Samuel – OUT

OL Anthony Donkoh, J’Ven Williams, Brady O’Hara, Liam Horan – Questionable

QB Jaxon Smolik, Bekkem Kritza – Questionable (depth)

CB Donte Natasi, DE Jordan Mayer, DT Kaleb Artis, LB Kari Jackson – Questionable

Northwestern Wildcats

RB Cam Porter – OUT (leg injury, season-ending)

DL Dylan Roberts – OUT

DBs Josh Fussell, Jalen Lewis, Tito Williams Jr. – Questionable

DL Migo Jackson, Braxton Strong – Questionable

WRs Braden Blueitt, Tate Crane – Questionable

OL Matt Keeler – Questionable

(Both teams are banged up, but Penn State’s WR depth and LB injuries are particularly concerning.)

Key Player Matchups

QB Drew Allar (PSU) vs. Northwestern Secondary

Allar: 963 yards, 8 TDs, 2 INTs, 64.7% completion.

Northwestern pass defense: #20 nationally (165 YPG allowed).

RB Kaytron Allen (PSU) vs. LB Mack Uihlein (NW)

Allen: 377 yards, 6 TDs, 7.0 YPC.

Uihlein: 38 tackles, defensive anchor.

QB Preston Stone (NW) vs. Penn State Pass Rush

Stone: 918 yards, 7 TDs, 6 INTs, 61.5% completion.

PSU Defense: 16th nationally in pass defense (156.8 YPG allowed).

WR Griffin Wilde (NW) vs. CB Kalen King (PSU)

Wilde: 375 yards, 2 TDs, explosive deep threat.

King: NFL-caliber corner, key to limiting chunk plays.

Recent Team Form

Northwestern Wildcats

Last game: Defeated Louisiana-Monroe 42-7.

Notable win: 17-14 over UCLA.

Offense: 381 YPG (#74 FBS), 23.6 PPG (#95).

Defense: 311.8 YPG allowed (#31), 17.0 PPG allowed (#26).

Penn State Nittany Lions

Last game: Lost 42-37 to UCLA.

Also lost to Oregon in double OT.

Offense: 389 YPG (#70), 38.6 PPG (#20).

Defense: 306.2 YPG allowed (#29), 17.8 PPG allowed (#30).

On a 2-game losing streak, desperate for first Big Ten win.

Series History

All-Time Record: Penn State leads 16-5 [Winsipedia; Northwestern Athletics]

At Beaver Stadium: PSU leads 9-2.

Last Meeting: 2023 – Penn State 41, Northwestern 13.

Current Streak: Penn State has won 3 straight.

Notable Upset: Northwestern last beat PSU in 2015 (23-21).

Betting Trends

Penn State:

0-5 ATS this season.

4 of 5 games have gone Over.

9-2 SU at home vs. Northwestern all-time.

Northwestern:

3-2 ATS this season.

1-0 ATS as 21+ point underdog.

2 of 5 games have gone Over.

Totals:

PSU’s defense has been strong, but recent games have trended high-scoring.

Northwestern’s ball-control style leans Under, but turnovers could swing totals.

Historical Betting Results

2023: PSU -27, covered vs. Northwestern (41-13).

2017: PSU -14, covered (31-7).

2015: Northwestern +2.5, upset win (23-21).

2014: Northwestern +10, upset win (29-6 at Beaver Stadium).

Projected Score: Penn State 34, Northwestern 17

Game Odds

Northwestern Wildcats                46.5

Penn State Nittany Lions              – 20.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 10, 2025