FBS-CFB Game Preview: North Carolina Tar Heels (2-3) vs. California Golden Bears (4-2)

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Venue & Game Details

Location: California Memorial Stadium, 2227 Piedmont Ave, Berkeley, CA 94720

Kickoff: 10:30 p.m. ET / 7:30 p.m. PT

Broadcast: ESPN

Weather: Clear skies, mid-60s, light Bay Area breeze

Team Recent Form

California Golden Bears: Coming off a 45-21 loss to Duke. QB Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele threw for 245 yards, 1 TD, 3 INTs. RB Kendrick Raphael added 67 yards and 2 TDs. Cal averages 351.7 YPG (100th nationally) and 24.2 PPG (95th), but their defense is solid, allowing 329.8 YPG (41st) and 22.5 PPG (57th).

North Carolina Tar Heels: Lost 38-10 to Clemson last week. QB Max Johnson threw for 213 yards but no TDs. RB Benjamin Hall scored UNC’s lone TD. The Heels average just 264.8 YPG (133rd, last in FBS) and 18.8 PPG (118th), while allowing 373.2 YPG (76th) and 25.8 PPG (79th).

Recent Form (last 3 games):

Cal: L vs. Duke (45-21), W vs. Arizona State (28-20), L vs. Washington (34-24)

UNC: L vs. Clemson (38-10), L vs. Virginia (30-27), W vs. Pitt (34-27)

Injury Report

California: No major injuries reported; Sagapolutele and Raphael healthy.

North Carolina: No key absences; QB rotation between Max Johnson and Gio Lopez continues.

Key Player Matchups

Quarterbacks:

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Cal) – 1,479 yards, 9 TDs, 7 INTs, 62% completion.

Gio Lopez (UNC) – 430 yards, 3 TDs, 3 INTs, 62.7% completion.

Running Backs:

Kendrick Raphael (Cal) – 423 yards, 4 TDs.

Demon June (UNC) – 266 yards, 1 TD.

Receivers:

Trond Grizzell (Cal) – 400 yards, 1 TD.

Jordan Shipp (UNC) – 234 yards, 2 TDs.

Series History

This is the first-ever ACC meeting between Cal and UNC since Cal’s move into the conference.

Betting Trends

Cal is 3-3 ATS this season, but 0-2 ATS as a double-digit favorite.

UNC is 2-3 ATS, 0-1 ATS as a double-digit underdog.

Cal games: 3 of 6 have gone Over.

UNC games: 2 of 5 have gone Over.

Score Projection: California 30 – North Carolina 13

Game Odds

North Carolina Tar Heels              47.5

California Golden Bears                – 10

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Thursday, October 16, 2025