FBS-CFB Game Preview: Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-1) vs. Texas A&M Aggies (4-0)

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Time: 7:30 PM ET (SEC Network)
Venue: Kyle Field, 756 Houston Street, College Station, TX 77843
Capacity: 102,733

Weather Forecast

Kickoff: 84°F, partly cloudy

End of Game: ~75°F, clear skies

Rain Chance: 0%

Wind: 8–10 mph from the south

Impact: Warm but favorable conditions for both passing and rushing attacks

Injury Report

Mississippi State:

RT Albert Reese IV – Doubtful (ankle)

WR Brenen Thompson – Questionable (shoulder)

DB Isaac Smith – Questionable (undisclosed)

Texas A&M:

LB Scooby Williams – Day-to-day

S Bryce Anderson – Questionable

OL Reuben Fatheree – Out

Key Player Matchups

Quarterbacks:

Mississippi State: Blake Shapen – 1,062 yds, 8 TD, 3 INT, 65.4% comp

Texas A&M: Marcel Reed – 1,076 yds, 9 TD, 2 INT, 60.3% comp

Running Backs:

MSU: Da’Marion “Fluff” Bothwell – 405 yds, 6 TD

TAMU: Le’Veon Moss – 307 yds, 5 TD

Receivers:

MSU: Brenen Thompson – 324 yds, 3 TD

TAMU: Mario Craver (former MSU WR) – 477 yds, 4 TD

Defensive Leaders:

MSU: Isaac Smith – 28 tackles, 1 INT

TAMU: Cashius Howell – 4 sacks

Recent Team Form

Mississippi State (4-1, 0-1 SEC):

L 41-34 (OT) vs Tennessee

W 38-10 vs NIU

W 63-0 vs Alcorn State

W 24-20 vs Arizona State

W 34-17 @ Southern Miss

Texas A&M (4-0, 1-0 SEC):

W 16-10 vs Auburn

W 41-40 @ Notre Dame

W 44-22 vs Utah State

W 42-24 vs UTSA

Team Records

Mississippi State: 4-1 overall, 0-1 SEC

Texas A&M: 4-0 overall, 1-0 SEC

Series History

All-Time: Texas A&M leads 9–8

Last Meeting (2024): Texas A&M won 34-24 in Starkville

Last 10 Meetings: Split 5–5

Notable: Mississippi State has historically played A&M tough, including wins in 2021 and 2022

Betting Trends

Mississippi State: 5-0 ATS in 2025 (best in FBS)

Texas A&M: 1-3 ATS in 2025; 0-2 ATS as favorite ≥14 pts

Totals:

MSU: 2 of 5 games OVER

TAMU: 3 of 4 games OVER

Head-to-Head: MSU 6-3 ATS in last 9 vs A&M

Historical Betting Results

2024: TAMU 34, MSU 24 (MSU +21 covered, Over 55 hit)

2023: TAMU 51, MSU 10 (TAMU -18 covered, Over 49 hit)

2022: MSU 42, TAMU 24 (MSU -3 covered, Over 46 hit)

Trend: Last 4 meetings have all gone OVER

Projected Score: Texas A&M 34, Mississippi State 24

Game Odds

Mississippi State Bulldogs           55.5

Texas A&M Aggies                           – 14.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 3, 2025