Time: 7:30 PM ET (ABC)
Venue: Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium, 403 Stadium Drive, Tallahassee, FL 32304
Capacity: 79,560
Weather Forecast
Kickoff: 83°F, mostly sunny
End of Game: ~69°F, overcast with 20–25% chance of light showers
Wind: 10–15 mph ENE
Impact: Passing/kicking could be slightly affected by wind gusts; otherwise favorable conditions
Injury Report
Miami (FL):
DB Charles Brantley – Out
RB Jordan Lyle – Probable
Florida State:
DL Deamontae Diggs – Out
RB Roydell Williams – Questionable (knee)
RB Kam Davis – Questionable
WR Jayvan Boggs – Questionable
S Ashlynd Barker – Questionable (key starter, 2 sacks, 13 tackles in 3 games)
Key Player Matchups
Quarterbacks:
Miami: Carson Beck – 972 yds, 7 TD, 3 INT, 72.6% comp
FSU: Thomas Castellanos – 848 yds, 4 TD, 3 INT, plus 217 rush yds & 4 TD
Running Backs:
Miami: Mark Fletcher Jr. – 388 yds, 5 TD
FSU: Gavin Sawchuk – 234 yds, 6 TD
Receivers:
Miami: Malachi Toney – 268 yds, 1 TD
FSU: Duce Robinson – 346 yds, 3 TD
Defensive Stars:
Miami: Rueben Bain Jr. – 19 tackles, 2 sacks, 1 INT
FSU: Earl Little II – 28 tackles, 1 INT
Recent Team Form
Miami (4-0, 0-0 ACC):
W 26-7 vs Florida
W 49-12 vs USF
W 45-3 vs Bethune-Cookman
W 27-24 vs Notre Dame
Florida State (3-1, 0-1 ACC):
L 46-38 (2OT) @ Virginia
W 66-10 vs Kent State
W 77-3 vs East Texas A&M
W 31-17 vs Alabama
Team Records
Miami: 4-0 overall, 0-0 ACC
Florida State: 3-1 overall, 0-1 ACC
Series History
All-Time: Miami leads 36–33
Last Meeting (2024): Miami won 36-14 in Miami Gardens
Last 10 Meetings: Split 5–5
Notable: Rivalry famous for “Wide Right” and “Wide Left” finishes
Betting Trends
Miami: 3-1 ATS in 2025; 2-1 ATS as favorite ≥4.5 pts
Florida State: 2-1 ATS; 1-0 ATS as underdog ≥4.5 pts
Totals:
Miami: 2 of 4 games OVER
FSU: All 4 games OVER
Historical Betting Results
Unders dominate rivalry: 12 of last 14 meetings UNDER, including 5 straight in Tallahassee
Miami: 4-2 SU as road favorite last season
FSU: Covered in 10 of last 15 vs Miami
Projected Score: Miami 30, Florida State 24
Game Odds
Miami Hurricanes – 4.5
Florida State Seminoles 53.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 3, 2025
