FBS-CFB Game Preview: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (3-7) vs. Texas State Bobcats (4-6)

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Venue & Event Details

Location: UFCU Stadium, San Marcos, TX

Kickoff: 5:00 PM EST / 4:00 PM CST

Broadcast: ESPN+

Weather Forecast

Temperature: 68°F at kickoff, dropping into low 60s by evening

Conditions: Clear skies, winds 6–9 mph

Impact: Ideal conditions for both passing and rushing

Injury Report

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks:

QB Aidan Armenta (healthy, 82 yards, 1 INT vs South Alabama)

RB Braylon McReynolds (healthy, 52 yards, 1 TD vs South Alabama)

WR Julian Nixon (healthy, 31 yards vs South Alabama)

Texas State Bobcats:

QB Brad Jackson (healthy, 192 yards, 1 TD vs Southern Miss; 49 rushing yards, 2 TDs)

RB Lincoln Pare (healthy, 118 yards, 1 TD vs Southern Miss)

WR Chris Dawn (healthy, 117 yards, 1 TD vs Southern Miss)

Key Player Matchups

Brad Jackson (Texas State QB) vs ULM Secondary: Jackson’s dual-threat ability (passing + rushing TDs) will test a Warhawks defense that allowed 391 yards vs Old Dominion.

Lincoln Pare (Texas State RB) vs ULM Front Seven: Pare’s consistency (118 yards last week) against a defense that has struggled to stop the run.

Braylon McReynolds (ULM RB) vs Texas State Linebackers: McReynolds’ ability to break tackles could be key if ULM wants to control tempo.

Recent Team Forms

ULM: Lost 26–14 vs South Alabama (Nov. 15); blew a 14–0 first-quarter lead.

Texas State: Beat Southern Miss 41–14 (Nov. 15); dominated with 528 total yards and strong rushing attack.

Series History

All-time: Texas State leads 6–5.

Recent: Texas State won 21–20 in 2024; ULM won 31–28 in 2023.

Trend: Last 5 meetings split 3–2 in favor of Texas State.

Betting Trends:

ULM is 3–7 ATS this season.

Texas State is 5–5 ATS.

Overs have hit in 6 of Texas State’s 10 games.

Historical Betting Results

Texas State has covered in 3 of last 5 games.

ULM has failed to cover in 4 of last 5 games.

Head-to-head matchups have been close, with 3 of last 4 decided by 7 points or fewer.

Prediction: Texas State 34 – Louisiana-Monroe 17

Game Odds

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks                    58.5

Texas State Bobcats                                        – 19.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, November 21, 2025