FBS-CFB Game Preview: Iowa State Cyclones (7-4) vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys (1-10)

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The annual Farmageddon rivalry, a Big 12 staple since 2011, closes the regular season as the No. 18 Iowa State Cyclones (7-4, 5-3 Big 12) host the beleaguered Oklahoma State Cowboys (1-10, 0-8 Big 12) at Jack Trice Stadium. Iowa State, bowl-bound and eyeing a potential Holiday or Sun Bowl slot under Matt Campbell, aims to cap a resilient campaign with a rivalry rout. The Cowboys, enduring a nightmare 1-10 collapse under Mike Gundy (his worst since 2005), cling to fading pride after firing OC Kasey Dunn midseason. With Iowa State’s stout defense facing OSU’s sputtering offense (bottom-10 scoring), this could be a lopsided affair—expect Ames’ frigid winds, cyclone chants, and a telephone trophy battle amid heartbreak for the Pokes.

Venue Location

The clash returns to Jack Trice Stadium in Ames, Iowa. This 61,500-seat cyclone stronghold, opened in 1975 and renovated in 2011, honors Iowa State’s first football letterman and roars with “Hire more farmers” taunts. It’s a 400-mile trek from Stillwater, Oklahoma, ensuring a hostile, sold-out crowd—ISU boasts a 7-3 home record in the series.

Kickoff: 12:00 p.m. CT (1:00 p.m. ET)

Broadcast: ESPN2 (primary), with streaming on ESPN app and Fubo. Radio: Iowa State’s 106.3 KXIT; OSU’s 1300 The Buzz.

Weather Updates

Ames in late November delivers bone-chilling Midwest misery, priming defenses. Forecast for game day: Mostly sunny turning partly cloudy, with a high of 38°F (3°C) and a low around 25°F (-4°C). Winds: Gusty 15-25 mph from the northwest, with flurries possible (10% precipitation chance). Wind chill dips to 15°F (-9°C) by halftime—turf field firm but slick if snow dusts; favors Iowa State’s run D over OSU’s fading arms.

Injury Report

Iowa State’s depth shines through attrition, but OSU’s trenches are decimated, fueling their 1-10 spiral. Updates as of November 27.

Iowa State Cyclones:

PlayerPositionStatusInjury DetailsImpact
Rocco BechtQBProbableAnkle (tweaked vs. Kansas; full practice)Dual-threat star (2,450 pass yds, 18 TDs; 650 rush); if limited, sophomore backup ready—ISU 6-1 with Becht 200+ total yds.
Jaylin NoelWROutKnee (midseason ACL)Speedster (45 rec, 750 yds); shifts to Eyioma Uwazurike—offense still top-40 (30 PPG).
Carson HansenLBQuestionableShoulder (limited vs. Texas Tech)Tackle machine (75 stops); depth LBs stepped up (D ranks 20th scoring).
Chase ContrerazKAvailableGroin (cleared after bye)14/17 FGs; reliable in wind.

Overall: Five limited per Big 12 reports; run game (top-25 nationally) intact.

Oklahoma State Cowboys:

PlayerPositionStatusInjury DetailsImpact
Alan BowmanQBDoubtfulConcussion (vs. Baylor; in protocol)Starter benched midseason; if out, true freshman Zane Flores (1,100 yds, 8 TDs, 7 INTs) struggles—OSU 0-7 with 3+ TOs.
Ollie Gordon IIRBOut for seasonKnee (Oct. 18 vs. BYU)Heisman hopeful (pre-injury: 1,000 yds); committee (Mathis, Daniels) averages 3.2 YPC in 120th-ranked rush.
Brennan PresleyWRProbableHamstring (limited last two)Leading receiver (55 rec, 800 yds); key chain-mover if healthy.
Collin OliverLBOutUndisclosed (season-ending)Edge (5 sacks); front seven vulnerable (110th vs. rush).

Overall: 14 players out/limited; O-line allowed 42 sacks (worst in Big 12).

Player Matchups

Iowa State’s physicality (top-20 SP+ defense) exploits OSU’s youth. Key battles:

Iowa State QB Rocco Becht (probable) vs. OSU Secondary: Becht’s efficiency (62% comp., 15 TDs last 5) tests banged-up DBs. Cowboys rank 115th pass D (280 yds allowed). Edge: Becht—ISU 5-1 when he avoids sacks.

OSU QB Zane Flores (if starting) vs. Iowa State Front Seven: Freshman Flores (7 INTs) faces ISU’s havoc creators (35 sacks, top-15 pressure). Edge: Iowa State—Cyclones 6-0 holding QBs under 200 yds.

Iowa State RB Jaylen Wright vs. OSU Run D: Wright (1,050 yds, 12 TDs) grinds behind top-25 O-line. Pokes allow 170 rush yds/game (105th). Edge: Wright—expect 150+ yds; OSU 0-8 vs. 150+ rush foes.

OSU WR Brennan Presley (probable) vs. Iowa State CB T.J. Tampa: Presley’s YAC prowess (800 yds) meets Tampa’s shutdown coverage (3 INTs). Edge: Tampa—ISU secondary top-25 in passer rating allowed.

Iowa State: Bowl-eligible after midseason surge; wins over Utah, Kansas State.

OSU: Lone win over FCS; conference cellar dwellers.

Recent Team Forms

Iowa State Cyclones: Campbell’s crew peaked with a 38-24 rout of Texas Tech, extending streak. Balanced attack (180 rush/220 pass YPG), D opportunistic (16 TOs forced). Morale: Playoff adjacent; 5-1 ATS in wins.

Oklahoma State Cowboys: Gundy’s Pokes imploded post-BYU (L 45-17), scoring 12 PPG in skid amid OC change. Turnovers plague (22 given), D gassed (35 PPG allowed). Morale: Damage control; 1-10 ties ’05 low.

Series History

Farmageddon’s telephone trophy debuted in 2014. All-time: Iowa State leads 12-10 since 2011. ISU holds after 2024’s 34-27 win. At Jack Trice: 6-4 Cyclone edge. Recent: ISU 4-1 SU last 5, avg. margin 15 pts.

YearWinnerScoreNotes
2024Iowa State34-27Becht’s 300-yd game
2023Oklahoma State45-17Gordon’s 150-yd rush
2022Iowa State41-31High-scoring Ames
2021Iowa State24-14Defensive stand
2020Oklahoma State20-18Field goal fest

Betting Trends

Iowa State: 7-4 ATS (63.6%); 3-1 ATS as 20+ favorites. 5-6 O/U; unders in 4/5 home wins. 7-0 SU as fave (100%). Vs. sub-.200: 6-1 SU/ATS.

Oklahoma State: 3-8 ATS (27.3%); 2-3 ATS as 20+ dogs. 4-7 O/U; unders in 5/6 road losses. 0-10 SU as underdog. Rivalry: 1-4 SU last 5.

Series Trends: Home team 7-3 SU last 10; unders 6/10 (avg. 46 pts). Favorites cover 8/12; ISU 4-1 ATS at home vs. OSU. Advanced: FPI gives ISU 96% win prob. ISU 18th defensive SP+; OSU 125th overall.

Game Odds

Iowa State Cyclones                       – 13.5

Oklahoma State Cowboys            46

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, November 28, 2025