FBS-CFB Game Preview: Houston Cougars (8-3) vs. Baylor Bears (5-6)

0
19

Venue & Kickoff

Location: McLane Stadium, Waco, Texas

Kickoff: 7:30 PM ET (6:30 PM CT)

Broadcast: ESPN2

Context: Houston is fighting for a Big 12 bowl slot with momentum, while Baylor must win to reach bowl eligibility.

Weather

Forecast: ~62°F at kickoff, humidity ~70%, winds ~6 mph,

Conditions: Mild and favorable for both passing and rushing attacks. No major weather disruptions expected.

Injury Report

Houston Cougars:

QB Donovan Smith – Probable (minor shoulder soreness)

RB Parker Jenkins – Questionable (ankle)

WR Matthew Golden – Probable (hamstring)

LB Malik Fleming – Out (season-ending knee injury)

Baylor Bears:

QB Sawyer Robertson – Probable (concussion protocol cleared)

RB Richard Reese – Questionable (ankle)

WR Monaray Baldwin – Probable (shoulder)

LB Matt Jones – Out (season-ending arm injury)

Team Recent Form

Houston Cougars:

Recent form: Won 3 of last 4, most recent win 31-24 vs Texas Tech

Offense: 29.9 PPG, 412 YPG (balanced attack)

Defense: 23.8 PPG allowed, 348 YPG allowed

Baylor Bears:

Recent form: Lost 3 of last 4, most recent loss 27-20 vs Kansas State

Offense: 25.1 PPG, 389 YPG

Defense: 31.6 PPG allowed, 412 YPG allowed

Player Matchups

Quarterbacks:

Houston: Donovan Smith – 2,745 yds, 22 TD, 9 INT; 412 rush yds, 6 TD

Baylor: Sawyer Robertson – 2,112 yds, 15 TD, 10 INT

Running Backs:

Houston: Parker Jenkins – 812 yds, 9 TD

Baylor: Richard Reese – 712 yds, 7 TD

Receivers:

Houston: Matthew Golden – 52 rec, 712 yds, 6 TD

Baylor: Monaray Baldwin – 48 rec, 689 yds, 5 TD

Defensive Stars:

Houston: DE Nelson Ceaser – 9 sacks, 14 TFL

Baylor: DL Gabe Hall – 6 sacks, 10 TFL

Series History

All-time: Baylor leads 79–32–1

Current streak: Baylor has won 3 of last 5

Last meeting: Houston 31–28 in Houston (2024)

Betting Trends

Houston: 7-4 ATS overall, 4-2 ATS on road

Baylor: 4-7 ATS overall, 2-5 ATS as underdog

Totals: Houston unders in 7 of 11 games; Baylor overs in 6 of 11

Summary: Houston enters as the favorite with bowl momentum, while Baylor fights for eligibility. Expect Houston’s defense and Donovan Smith’s leadership to be decisive.

Game Odds

Houston Cougars             58.5

Baylor Bears                       – 3

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Thursday, November 27, 2025