Kickoff: 10:30 PM ET (7:30 PM PT local)
Venue: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, California (Capacity: ~35,000)
Broadcast: CBS Sports Network
Weather Forecast (San Diego, CA)
Temperature: ~77°F (25°C) at kickoff, cooling into the upper 60s by the 4th quarter
Conditions: Clear skies, mild coastal breeze (5–7 mph)
Impact: Ideal Southern California evening; no weather disruptions expected.
Injury Report
California Golden Bears (ACC):
QB Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (780 yards, 6 TDs, 1 INT through 3 games) healthy.
RB Kendrick Raphael (201 rushing yards, 1 TD) available.
WRs Trond Grizzell and Jacob De Jesus (combined 324 yards, 2 TDs) active.
Defense led by LB Luke Ferrelli (27 tackles) and DB Hezekiah Masses (3 INTs).
San Diego State Aztecs (Mountain West):
QB Jayden Denegal (340 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs) healthy.
RB Lucky Sutton (188 rushing yards, 2 TDs) available.
WRs Jacob Bostick and Jordan Napier (combined 188 yards, 2 TDs) active.
Defense led by LB Tano Letuli (19 tackles) and DB Hezekiah Masses (nation-leading 3 INTs).
Key Player Matchups
QB Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Cal) vs. SDSU Secondary
Sagapolutele is completing 67% of passes; SDSU’s DBs must generate turnovers to slow him down.
RB Kendrick Raphael (Cal) vs. SDSU Front Seven
Raphael’s ability to keep Cal balanced will be crucial against a stout Aztec run defense.
QB Jayden Denegal (SDSU) vs. Cal Pass Rush
Denegal has been careful with the ball; Cal’s front must pressure him to force mistakes.
RB Lucky Sutton (SDSU) vs. Cal Linebackers
Sutton is SDSU’s offensive focal point; Cal’s LB corps must contain him to control tempo.
Recent Team Form
California Golden Bears (3–0, ACC)
8/30/25: W 41–10 vs. Texas Southern
9/6/25: W 27–17 vs. Minnesota
9/13/25: W 31–14 vs. Boston College
Trend: Balanced offense (averaging 29.7 PPG) and elite defense (allowing just 10.7 PPG).
San Diego State Aztecs (1–1, MWC)
8/30/25: W 28–7 vs. Stony Brook
9/6/25: L 31–14 @ Washington State
Trend: Defense solid (8 PPG allowed), but offense inconsistent and struggling to sustain drives.
Series History
California leads the all-time series 4–3.
Last meeting: 2016, San Diego State won 45–40 in San Diego.
SDSU has won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
Betting Trends
California:
4–0 ATS in last 4 as a road favorite.
Won 9 straight September games as a favorite.
3 of last 4 vs. Mountain West opponents failed to cover.
San Diego State:
12–4 in last 16 home games vs. California-based teams.
Covered 3 of last 4 non-conference games.
Lost 7 straight September games vs. non-ranked opponents.
Totals:
Last 5 Cal vs. SDSU matchups have gone under.
SDSU underdog games vs. non-ranked teams often trend over.
Historical Betting Results
California: Profitable ATS as a road favorite; defense-driven unders common.
San Diego State: Inconsistent ATS as an underdog; strong at home historically but poor in September.
ACC vs. MWC: Power Four teams cover ~60% of the time in these matchups.
Game Odds
California Golden Bears – 14.5
San Diego State Aztecs 47
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 19, 2025
