FBS-CFB Game Preview: Baylor Bears (0-1) vs. #17 SMU Mustangs (1-0)

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Venue & Kickoff

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, University Park, Texas

Date: Saturday, September 6, 2025

Time: 12:00 PM ET / 11:00 AM CT

Broadcast: The CW Network

Capacity: 32,000 (expected sellout; short 100-mile trip for Baylor fans)

Weather Forecast

Conditions: Hot, partly cloudy

Temperature: ~91°F at kickoff

Wind: 8 mph from the south

Precipitation: 0%

Impact: Heat could test defensive depth; tempo offenses may push conditioning limits

Injury Report

SMU Mustangs

WR Jordan Hudson – Questionable (undisclosed)

LB Alex Kilgore – Questionable (ankle; X-rays negative)

Baylor Bears

DE Jackie Marshall – Questionable (ankle)

No other major injuries reported

Recent Form

SMU: Won 15 of last 16 home games under Rhett Lashlee

Baylor: Missed 23 tackles vs. Auburn; offense still posted 483 total yards

Key Player Matchups

QB Kevin Jennings (SMU) vs. QB Sawyer Robertson (BAY)

Jennings: 260 pass yds, 2 TD, 1 INT; 1 rush TD in opener

Robertson: 419 pass yds, 3 TD vs. Auburn

WR Romello Brinson (SMU) vs. CB Devyn Bobby (BAY)

Brinson: 7 rec, 121 yds, 1 TD

Bobby: 6 tackles vs. Auburn

TE Michael Trigg (BAY) vs. LB Brandon Booker (SMU)

Trigg: 7 rec, 99 yds, 1 TD

Booker: Defensive leader; key in covering seam routes

SMU RB Committee vs. Baylor Front Seven

Auburn QB Jackson Arnold gashed Baylor for 137 rush yds, 2 TD; SMU may test similar concepts

Series History

All-Time: Baylor leads 39–36–7

Current Streak: Baylor has won 13 straight (last SMU win: 1986)

Last Meeting: Baylor 40–13 (2016, Waco)

In Dallas: Baylor leads 19–18–4

Betting Trends

SMU: 7–6 ATS in 2024; 5–5 ATS as ≥2.5-point favorite

Baylor: 8–4 ATS in 2024; 2–1 ATS as ≥2.5-point underdog

OVER hit in 7 of SMU’s 13 games last season; Baylor went OVER in 6 of 13

SMU has won 15 of last 16 at home; Baylor 2–3 in last 5 road games

Game Odds

Baylor Bears                       64.5

SMU Mustangs                 – 2.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 5, 2025