FBS-CFB Game Preview: Ball State Cardinals (2-3) vs. Western Michigan Broncos (3-3)

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Venue & Game Details

Stadium: Waldo Stadium (Capacity: 30,200)

Location: Kalamazoo, Michigan

Kickoff Time: 3:30 PM ET

Broadcast: ESPN+

Weather Forecast (Kalamazoo, MI)

Conditions: Partly cloudy, cool fall afternoon

Kickoff Temp: 59°F (15°C)

Wind: 7–10 mph (NW)

Precipitation:

Impact: Ideal football weather; light wind could affect long field goals.

Injury Report

Ball State Cardinals: No major injuries reported.

Western Michigan Broncos: No major injuries reported.

(Both teams enter this MAC clash healthy, which is rare at midseason.)

Key Player Matchups

QB Kiael Kelly (Ball State) vs. WMU Secondary

Kelly: 657 yards, 4 TDs, 2 INTs, 60.6% completion; also 266 rushing yards, 2 TDs

WMU Pass Defense: Allowing 187.2 YPG (#42 FBS).

RB Qua Ashley (Ball State) vs. WMU Front Seven

Ashley: 316 yards, 3 TDs, 4.9 YPC.

WMU Run Defense: 128 YPG allowed (#51 FBS).

QB Broc Lowry (Western Michigan) vs. Ball State Secondary

Lowry: 751 yards, 3 TDs, 1 INT, 60.5% completion; also 319 rushing yards, 6 TDs

Ball State Pass Defense: Allowing 247.8 YPG (#105 FBS).

WR Qian Magwood (Ball State) vs. CB Tate Hallock (WMU)

Magwood: 174 yards, 1 TD.

Hallock: 31 tackles, 1 INT, defensive leader.

RB Jalen Buckley (WMU) vs. Ball State Front Seven

Buckley: 227 yards, 2 TDs.

Ball State Run Defense: 166.8 YPG allowed (#107 FBS).

Recent Team Form

Ball State Cardinals

Last game: Defeated Ohio 20-14.

Offense: 289 YPG (#130), 16.4 PPG (#128).

Defense: 414.6 YPG allowed (#116), 29.4 PPG allowed (#104).

Strength: Mobile QB (Kelly), disciplined (14th nationally in penalty yards).

Weakness: Passing game (#132 nationally).

Western Michigan Broncos

Last game: Defeated UMass 21-3.

Offense: 294.5 YPG (#129), 19.7 PPG (#116).

Defense: 315.2 YPG allowed (#36), 20.7 PPG allowed (#45).

Strength: Top-20 red-zone defense (71.4%).

Weakness: Passing offense (#126 nationally).

Series History

All-Time Record: Western Michigan leads 29–22.

Current Streak: WMU has won 3 straight (2022–2024).

Last Meeting: 2024 – WMU 38, Ball State 31.

At Kalamazoo: WMU leads 16–9.

Largest Margin: WMU 55-3 (2017).

Betting Trends

Ball State:

4-1 ATS this season.

3-1 ATS as underdog of 8.5+ points.

2 of 5 games Over.

Western Michigan:

5-1 ATS this season.

1-0 ATS as 8.5+ point favorite.

2 of 6 games Over.

Head-to-Head:

WMU 3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS in last 3 vs. Ball State.

Last 3 meetings: 2 Unders, 1 Over.

Historical Betting Results

2024: WMU -7, covered (38-31).

2023: WMU -3, covered (24-17).

2022: WMU +2.5, upset win (37-30).

2021: Ball State -2, covered (45-20).

2020: WMU -9, covered (38-31).

Projected Score: Western Michigan 24, Ball State 16

Game Odds

Ball State Cardinals                         42.5

Western Michigan Broncos          – 9.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 10, 2025