Time: 12:00 PM ET (CBS / Paramount+)
Venue: Navy–Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, 550 Taylor Avenue, Annapolis, MD 21401
Capacity: 34,000
Weather Forecast (Annapolis, MD)
Kickoff: 68°F, sunny
End of Game: ~64°F, clear skies
Rain Chance: <5%
Wind: 6–8 mph
Impact: Excellent conditions for a ground-heavy service academy rivalry
Injury Report
Air Force (1-3, 0-3 MW):
No major new injuries reported; defense remains thin after early-season attrition.
Navy (4-0, 3-0 AAC):
No significant injuries; QB Blake Horvath and RB Alex Tecza fully healthy.
Key Player Matchups
Quarterbacks:
Air Force: Liam Szarka – 638 yds, 5 TD, 3 INT; also 296 rush yds, 4 TD
Navy: Blake Horvath – 500 yds, 3 TD, 3 INT; 268 rush yds, 5 TD
Running Backs:
Air Force: Quin Smith – 263 yds, 3 TD (28.9 YPC leader in MWC)
Navy: Alex Tecza – 376 yds, 4 TD
Receivers:
Air Force: Cade Harris – 260 yds, 3 TD
Navy: Eli Heidenreich – 170 yds, 1 TD
Defensive Leaders:
Air Force: LB Blake Fletcher – 42 tackles; Isaac Hubert – 3 sacks
Navy: LB MarcAnthony Parker – 33 tackles; DT Landon Robinson – 3.5 sacks
Recent Team Form
Air Force (1-3):
L 44-35 vs Hawaii
L 49-37 vs Boise State
L 49-30 @ Utah State
W 49-13 vs Bucknell
Navy (4-0):
W 21-13 vs Rice
W 42-23 @ Tulsa
W 38-24 vs UAB
W 52-7 vs VMI
Team Records
Air Force: 1-3 overall, 0-3 MW
Navy: 4-0 overall, 3-0 AAC
Series History
All-Time: Air Force leads 34–23
Last Meeting (2024): Navy 34, Air Force 7 (in Colorado Springs)
Last Meeting in Annapolis (2023): Air Force 17, Navy 6
Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy: Air Force 21 titles, Navy 17 titles
Betting Trends
Air Force: 1-3 ATS in 2025; all 4 games OVER
Navy: 2-2 ATS; 3 of 4 games OVER
Head-to-Head: Underdogs have covered 5 of last 8 meetings
Situational: Navy 7 straight wins overall; Air Force 0-3 in MW play
Historical Betting Results
2024: Navy 34, Air Force 7 (Navy -3 covered, Under 47 hit)
2023: Air Force 17, Navy 6 (AF -10 covered, Under 37 hit)
2022: Air Force 13, Navy 10 (Navy +14 covered, Under 38 hit)
2021: Air Force 23, Navy 3 (AF -6 covered, Under 40 hit)
Projected Score: Navy 34, Air Force 24
Game Odds
Air Force Falcons 51.5
Navy Midshipmen – 13.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 3, 2025
