DP World Tour Golf Preview: BMW Championship

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Venue & Event Details

  • Location: Wentworth Club (West Course), Surrey, England
  • Course Specs: Par 72, 7,267 yards, tree-lined parkland layout with strategic bunkering and water hazards
  • Dates: Thursday, September 11 – Sunday, September 14, 2025
  • Purse: $9 million (Winner’s share: $1.53 million)
  • Tour: DP World Tour – Rolex Series Event
  • Defending Champion: Billy Horschel (2024, -20, playoff win over Rory McIlroy and Thriston Lawrence)

Weather Forecast

  • Thursday: Mostly sunny, highs ~23°C (73°F), light winds 6–9 mph
  • Friday: Partly cloudy, highs ~21°C (70°F), slightly breezier in the afternoon
  • Weekend: Dry, mild, and calm — ideal scoring conditions
  • Impact: Expect low scores; firm greens in the afternoon could reward precise iron play.

Notable Player Status

In the Field:

  • Europe’s Ryder Cup stars: Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Tommy Fleetwood, Viktor Hovland, Matt Fitzpatrick, Tyrrell Hatton, Shane Lowry, Robert MacIntyre, Rasmus Højgaard, Ludvig Åberg, Justin Rose
  • Defending Champion: Billy Horschel – first start since hip surgery in May
  • Major Champions: Hideki Matsuyama, Adam Scott, Pádraig Harrington, Francesco Molinari
  • LIV Golf Contingent: Patrick Reed, Brooks Koepka, Joaquin Niemann, Thomas Pieters
  • Absent: Sepp Straka (family leave)

Player Form & Matchup Notes

  • Rory McIlroy (6/1) – Fresh off Irish Open win; 2014 BMW PGA champion; three runner-up finishes here since 2018
  • Jon Rahm (13/2) – Two-time runner-up at Wentworth; winless in 2025 but multiple playoff losses
  • Tommy Fleetwood (10/1) – Tour Championship winner; home crowd favorite
  • Tyrrell Hatton (20/1) – 2020 champion; thrives on this layout
  • Viktor Hovland (22/1) – Returning after missing 2024 due to injury; two prior top-5s here
  • Shane Lowry (30/1) – 2022 champion; elite short game suits Wentworth’s greens
  • Billy Horschel (45/1) – Two-time winner (2021, 2024); course specialist

Event & Series History

  • Established: 1955 (as British PGA Championship)
  • Rolex Series Status: Since 2017
  • Recent Winners:
    • 2024 – Billy Horschel (-20, playoff)
    • 2023 – Ryan Fox (-18)
    • 2022 – Shane Lowry (-17)
    • 2021 – Billy Horschel (-19)
    • 2020 – Tyrrell Hatton (-19)
  • Winning Score Range (last 5 years): -17 to -20

Betting Trends

  • Favorites’ Success: 3 of last 6 winners priced at 25/1 or shorter
  • Multiple Winners: Only Horschel in last decade
  • Home Advantage: 3 of last 5 winners from UK/Ireland
  • Playoff Frequency: 2 of last 4 editions decided in extra holes

Suggested Wagering Model

Projected Winning Score: -19

  • Outright Win: Rory McIlroy (6/1) – Peak form, elite Wentworth record
  • Value Win Bet: Viktor Hovland (22/1) – Returning fresh, strong course history
  • Top 5 Finish: Tommy Fleetwood (+200) – Consistency + home support
  • Top 10 Finish: Shane Lowry (+250) – Proven winner here
  • Prop Angle: “Any Playoff – Yes” (+300) – Tight finishes common at Wentworth
  • Longshot Top 20: Aaron Rai (+350) – Runner-up here in 2022