Venue & Game Info
Location: Perkins Stadium, Whitewater, Wisconsin (neutral playoff site assignment)
Kickoff: 12:00 PM CT
Capacity: ~13,500 (outdoor stadium)
Weather Forecast: Cold, ~37°F, cloudy skies, NW winds 10–12 mph, chance of light snow flurries
Broadcast: NCAA.com / ESPN+
Injury Report
Wisconsin–River Falls Falcons: QB Cole Hinz (shoulder soreness) probable; RB Evan Lew (ankle) questionable.
Chapman Panthers: WR Ethan Hoffman (hamstring) probable; LB Marcus Diaz (knee) out for season.
Key Player Matchups
Quarterbacks:
UW–River Falls: Cole Hinz – 2,785 yards, 27 TD, 6 INT
Chapman: Michael Owens – 2,345 yards, 22 TD, 8 INT
Running Backs:
UW–River Falls: Evan Lew – 1,045 yards, 12 TD (questionable)
Chapman: Jordan Harris – 987 yards, 9 TD
Receivers:
UW–River Falls: Tyler Roisum – 865 yards, 8 TD
Chapman: Ethan Hoffman – 1,102 yards, 10 TD (probable)
Defensive Leaders:
UW–River Falls: LB Mason Pierce – 102 tackles, 7 sacks
Chapman: DL Marcus Diaz – 88 tackles, 9 sacks (injured)
Recent Team Form
Wisconsin–River Falls:
W vs UW–La Crosse (28-24)
W vs UW–Stevens Point (35-21)
L vs UW–Whitewater (31-20)
W vs UW–Platteville (42-14)
W vs UW–Stout (38-17)
Chapman:
W vs Redlands (27-24)
W vs Pomona-Pitzer (35-14)
L vs Claremont-Mudd-Scripps (31-28)
W vs Occidental (41-10)
W vs La Verne (38-17)
Series History
First-ever postseason meeting between Wisconsin–River Falls and Chapman.
Programs have not met in regular season play, making this a fresh matchup.
Betting Trends
UW–River Falls has covered in 4 of last 5 games.
Chapman is 3-2 ATS in last 5, but struggled against nationally ranked opponents.
UW–River Falls games trend under due to strong defense; Chapman games trend over due to offensive shootouts.
Historical Betting Results
UW–River Falls covered vs UW–La Crosse (-3.5), winning 28–24.
Chapman failed to cover vs Claremont-Mudd-Scripps (+2.5), losing 31–28.
UW–River Falls 6–2 ATS in playoff games since 2020.
Chapman 5–3 ATS in playoff games since 2019.
Projected Score: Wisconsin–River Falls 31 – Chapman 21
Reasoning: UW–River Falls’ balanced offense and WIAC-tested defense should control the game. Chapman’s upset potential hinges on Owens’ passing efficiency and Hoffman’s big-play ability, but River Falls’ depth and postseason pedigree make them strong favorites.
Final Take: Expect a physical, defensive-minded playoff clash. Wisconsin–River Falls’ WIAC pedigree meets Chapman’s SCIAC championship grit, with the Falcons favored to advance in a cold-weather battle.
Game Odds
Wisconsin-River Falls Falcons – 7.5
Chapman Panthers 51
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, November 28, 2025
