D3-CFB Game Preview: Ursinus Bears (0‑0) vs. Alvernia Golden Wolves (0‑0)

0
425

Venue, Date & Time

Date: Friday, September 5, 2025

Kickoff: 4:30 p.m. ET

Venue: Alvernia University Turf Field, Reading, Pennsylvania

Surface: FieldTurf

Broadcast: Centennial Conference Network / school streaming platforms

Weather Forecast (Reading, PA – Kickoff)

Conditions: Mostly sunny

Temperature: ~71°F (22°C) at kickoff, cooling into the mid‑60s by the 4th quarter

Wind: Light, 3–5 mph from the northwest

Precipitation:

Impact: Ideal early‑season conditions; no significant effect on passing or kicking

Injury Report

(As of mid‑week; subject to change)

Ursinus

No major injuries reported entering opener.

Depth chart intact from preseason camp.

Alvernia

No significant injuries reported; full roster expected for Week 1.

2024 Postseason:

Ursinus: Finished 3rd in Centennial; earned ECAC Bowl bid, lost to King’s (PA) 32–29.

Alvernia: Missed postseason; ended season with an overtime win over Misericordia.

Recent Team Form (Last 5 Games of 2024)

Ursinus

L 32–29 @ King’s (PA) – ECAC Bowl

W 24–13 @ Dickinson

W 34–0 vs. Gettysburg

W 42–0 @ McDaniel

L 16–7 vs. Johns Hopkins

Alvernia

W 34–31 (OT) vs. Misericordia

L 23–10 vs. Lebanon Valley

L 22–19 (OT) @ Albright

L 34–24 @ Widener

L 22–14 vs. Eastern

Key Player Matchups

Ursinus Offense vs. Alvernia Defense

Ursinus averaged 34.0 PPG in 2024, with a balanced attack and a deep receiving corps.

Alvernia’s defense allowed 31.4 PPG; must pressure the QB and limit explosive plays to keep this close.

Alvernia Offense vs. Ursinus Defense

Alvernia averaged 21.0 PPG last season, leaning on a run‑first approach.

Ursinus’ defense was stout (19.1 PPG allowed) and posted three shutouts in 2024; their front seven will look to dominate the line of scrimmage.

Special Teams Edge

Ursinus’ kicking game was consistent, while Alvernia’s return units could be a hidden weapon if they can flip field position.

Series History

All‑Time: Ursinus leads 3–0

Last Meeting: Sept. 6, 2024 – Ursinus 45, Alvernia 14 (in Collegeville, PA)

Trend: Ursinus has scored 38+ points in all three meetings, winning by an average margin of 31 points.

Betting Trends (Modelled)

Ursinus

3–0 SU vs. Alvernia since 2022.

Averaging 47.3 PPG in the series.

4–1 SU in last 5 games of 2024.

Alvernia

1–4 SU in last 5 games of 2024.

Allowed 30+ points in 6 of 10 games last season.

0–3 ATS (modelled) vs. Ursinus all‑time.

Suggested Wagering Model

Model Inputs:

Ursinus’ offensive firepower and defensive consistency.

Alvernia’s struggles against high‑scoring teams.

Historical dominance by Ursinus in the series.

Game Odds

Ursinus Bears                                    – 21.5

Alvernia Golden Wolves               54.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Thursday, September 4, 2025