D3-CFB Game Preview: Simpson College Storm (1-2) vs. Buena Vista Beavers (1-1)

0
38

Venue & Game Details

Conference: American Rivers Conference (A-R-C), NCAA Division III

Kickoff Time: 1:00 PM CT

Venue: J. Leslie Rollins Stadium, Storm Lake, Iowa (Capacity ~5,000, turf surface)

Broadcast: A-R-C Digital Network / ESPN Gamecast

Weather Forecast (Storm Lake, IA)

Temperature: ~71°F (22°C) at kickoff

Conditions: Partly cloudy, light winds (6–8 mph)

Precipitation: ~15% chance of rain

Impact: Mild conditions; no major weather disruptions expected

Injury Report (Projected)

(Note: D-III programs rarely release official injury reports; this is based on recent availability trends)

Simpson Storm:

QB rotation intact, but WR depth thin after a Week 2 ankle injury (questionable).

Secondary missing one starter (out).

Buena Vista Beavers:

RB1 healthy and averaging 80+ YPG.

OL depth thin after a Week 2 shoulder injury (questionable).

Key Player Matchups

Simpson QB vs. Buena Vista Secondary
Simpson’s passing game has been inconsistent, but Buena Vista’s DBs have given up explosive plays.

Buena Vista RB Committee vs. Simpson Front Seven
Buena Vista leans on its ground game to control tempo. Simpson’s linebackers must contain early-down runs.

Special Teams
Both teams have had shaky kicking units—field position could swing momentum.

Recent Team Form

Simpson College (2025 Season so far)

Record: 1–1 overall, 0–1 A-R-C

Results:

W @ Crown (21–7)

L vs Wartburg (27–13)

Strength: Defense has kept them in games

Weakness: Offensive inconsistency against top-tier A-R-C defenses

Buena Vista (2025 Season so far)

Record: 1–1 overall, 0–0 A-R-C

Results:

L @ Benedictine (IL) (35–0)

W vs Wisconsin Lutheran (17–6)

Strength: Defense rebounded with a strong showing vs WLC

Weakness: Offensive struggles against stronger opponents

Conference vs. Conference

Both teams are A-R-C rivals, making this a conference matchup with postseason implications.

Simpson has been a mid-tier A-R-C program, while Buena Vista has been rebuilding.

Series History

All-time series: Simpson leads comfortably.

Recent meetings:

2024: Simpson 36, Buena Vista 14

2023: Simpson 55, Buena Vista 28

Trend: Simpson has won the last two meetings by multiple scores.

Betting Trends:

Simpson is 2-0 ATS in last two vs Buena Vista.

Buena Vista games have gone Under in 2 of last 3 due to offensive struggles.

Simpson has covered in 3 of last 4 road games.

Historical Betting Results (Head-to-Head, Modeled)

2024: Simpson -7 (covered, won 36–14)

2023: Simpson -10.5 (covered, won 55–28)

2022: Simpson -3.5 (covered, won 24–16)

2021: Buena Vista +6.5 (covered, lost 28–24)

Game Odds

Simpson College Storm                 – 6.5

Buena Vista Beavers                       51

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 26, 2025