D3-CFB Game Preview: Montclair State- Red Hawks (0‑0) vs. U.S. Merchant Marine Mariners (0‑0)

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Venue, Date & Time

Date: Friday, September 5, 2025

Kickoff: 6:00 p.m. ET

Venue: Captain James Harvey Tomb Field at Brooks Stadium, Kings Point, New York

Surface: Natural Grass

Broadcast: School streaming platforms / local coverage

Weather Forecast (Kings Point, NY – Kickoff)

Conditions: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy

Temperature: ~83°F (28°C) at kickoff

Wind: 5–7 mph from the southwest

Precipitation:

Impact: Ideal early‑season conditions; minimal effect on passing/kicking games

Injury Report

(As of mid‑week; subject to change)

Montclair State

No major injuries reported entering opener.

Depth chart intact from preseason camp.

Merchant Marine

No significant injuries reported; full roster expected for Week 1.

2024 Postseason:

Merchant Marine: Finished 2nd in NEWMAC; did not make NCAA playoffs but posted best record since

2016.

Montclair State: Missed postseason; looking to rebound under Head Coach Mike Palazzo.

Recent Team Form (Last 5 Games of 2024)

Montclair State

L 24–13 vs. Ursinus

L 30–0 @ Johns Hopkins

W 34–14 vs. Gettysburg

L 49–20 @ Muhlenberg

W 24–0 vs. McDaniel

Merchant Marine

W 35–14 vs. Coast Guard

W 28–21 @ WPI

L 24–17 @ Springfield

W 42–7 vs. Catholic

W 31–10 @ Norwich

Key Player Matchups

Montclair State Offense vs. Merchant Marine Defense

Montclair will lean on a balanced attack, but must protect the QB against a Mariners front that allowed just 17.4 PPG in 2024.

Key for Montclair: establishing the run early to avoid obvious passing downs against an experienced secondary.

Merchant Marine Triple‑Option Offense vs. Montclair State Front Seven

USMMA’s triple‑option attack averaged over 250 rushing yards per game last season.

Montclair’s linebackers must maintain gap discipline and tackle well in space to avoid long runs.

Special Teams Edge

Merchant Marine’s disciplined special teams play can flip field position; Montclair must match in coverage and avoid miscues.

Series History

All‑Time: Montclair State leads 3–0

Last Meeting: Sept. 6, 2024 – Montclair State 24, Merchant Marine 14 (in Montclair, NJ)

Trend: Montclair has held USMMA under 20 points in all meetings.

Betting Trends (Modelled)

Merchant Marine

8–2 SU in 2024; 4–1 at home.

Averaged 31.2 PPG last season; 4–1 ATS (modelled) in last 5 games.

Montclair State

3–7 SU in 2024; 1–4 on the road.

Averaged 18.8 PPG in 2024; 2–3 ATS (modelled) in last 5 games.

Suggested Wagering Model

Model Inputs:

Merchant Marine’s returning starters, home‑field advantage, and triple‑option efficiency.

Montclair’s offensive struggles against top‑tier defenses in 2024.

Early‑season conditioning and depth advantage for USMMA.

Game Odds

Montclair State Red Hawks                         44.5

U.S. Merchant Marine Mariners               – 6.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Thursday, September 4, 2025