D3-CFB Game Preview: Dean Bulldogs (0‑0) vs. Fitchburg State Falcons (0‑0)

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Venue, Date & Time

Date: Friday, September 5, 2025

Kickoff: 4:00 p.m. ET

Venue: Elliot Field Athletic Complex, Fitchburg, Massachusetts

Surface: FieldTurf

Broadcast: School streaming platforms / local coverage

Weather Forecast (Fitchburg, MA – Kickoff)

Conditions: Mostly sunny

Temperature: ~78°F (26°C) at kickoff, cooling into the upper 60s by the 4th quarter

Wind: Light, 4–6 mph from the northwest

Precipitation:

Impact: Ideal early‑season conditions; no significant effect on passing or kicking

Injury Report

(As of mid‑week; subject to change)

Dean

No major injuries reported entering opener.

Depth chart intact from preseason camp.

Fitchburg State

No significant injuries reported; full roster expected for Week 1.

2024 Postseason:

Neither team qualified for the NCAA playoffs.

Fitchburg State finished 6th in the MASCAC, winning 2 of its last 4 games.

Dean endured a winless season, shut out in 6 of 10 contests.

Recent Team Form (Last 5 Games of 2024)

Dean

L 63–0 @ Anna Maria

L 23–6 vs. Gallaudet

L 58–0 @ Alfred State

L 24–0 vs. Husson

L 68–0 @ Univ. of New England

Fitchburg State

L 22–7 @ Westfield State

L 26–21 vs. Plymouth State

L 17–9 @ Bridgewater State

W 26–6 vs. Castleton

L 21–3 vs. Mass. Maritime

Key Player Matchups

Dean Offense vs. Fitchburg State Defense

Dean averaged just 3.9 PPG in 2024; finding any offensive rhythm will be critical.

Fitchburg’s defense allowed 21.5 PPG and was opportunistic, forcing turnovers in key spots.

Fitchburg State Offense vs. Dean Defense

Fitchburg averaged 16.1 PPG last season, leaning on a run‑first approach.

Dean’s defense allowed 36.4 PPG; stopping the run will be essential to avoid long, clock‑draining drives.

Special Teams Edge

Fitchburg’s kicking game was more consistent in 2024; Dean must avoid giving up hidden yardage in the return game.

Series History

All‑Time: Series tied 2–2 since 2021

Last Meeting: Sept. 7, 2024 – Fitchburg State 12, Dean 0 (in Franklin, MA)

Trend: Fitchburg has won 2 of the last 3 meetings, including a shutout last year.

Largest Margin of Victory: Dean 42–6 (2021)

Smallest Margin of Victory: Fitchburg 33–28 (2022)

Betting Trends (Modelled)

Fitchburg State

2–1 SU in last 3 vs. Dean.

2–3 SU in last 5 games of 2024.

Under has hit in 3 of last 4 meetings.

Dean

0–10 SU in 2024; shut out in 6 games.

0–5 SU in last 5 games of 2024.

Averaged 1 TD or fewer in 9 of 10 games last season.

Suggested Wagering Model

Model Inputs:

Fitchburg’s home‑field advantage and defensive edge.

Dean’s offensive struggles and inability to sustain drives in 2024.

Historical trend toward low‑scoring games in this matchup.

Game Odds

Dean Bulldogs                                   42.5

Fitchburg State Falcons                 – 14.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Thursday, September 4, 2025