D2-CFB Game Preview: Southwest Minnesota State Mustangs (1-4) vs. Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs (5-0)

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Venue & Game Info

Stadium: James S. Malosky Stadium (capacity ~6,000)

Location: Duluth, Minnesota

Kickoff Time: 12:00 PM CT (1:00 PM ET / 10:00 AM PT)

Broadcast: NSIC Network / Local Radio

Weather Forecast (Duluth, MN)

Conditions: Partly cloudy, crisp fall afternoon

Temperature: ~63°F at kickoff, dipping into the 50s by evening

Wind: 8–12 mph off Lake Superior

Impact: Passing/kicking may be slightly affected by crosswinds

Injury Report

Southwest Minnesota State (SMSU):

QB J. Thompson – Probable (ankle soreness)

RB Malik Johnson – Questionable (hamstring)

Minnesota Duluth (UMD):

QB Logan Graetz – Probable (shoulder soreness)

WR Dominic Felker – Probable (ankle tweak)

Key Player Matchups

QB Logan Graetz (UMD) vs SMSU Secondary

Graetz has been efficient, leading a balanced Bulldogs offense.

RB Malik Johnson (SMSU) vs LB Cade Wiese (UMD)

Johnson is SMSU’s best offensive weapon; Wiese leads UMD in tackles.

WR Dominic Felker (UMD) vs CB Marcus Hall (SMSU)

Felker is UMD’s top deep threat; Hall is SMSU’s most experienced corner.

SMSU Offensive Line vs UMD Pass Rush

UMD’s front seven has been dominant, averaging 3+ sacks per game.

Recent Team Form

Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs (5–0, 4–0 NSIC, ranked Top‑15 DII)

W 28–14 vs Minnesota State Moorhead

W 34–17 @ Sioux Falls

W 17–14 vs Minnesota State Mankato

W 61–28 @ Concordia–St. Paul

W 35–7 vs Winona State

Offense: 35.0 PPG Defense: 16.0 PPG

Southwest Minnesota State Mustangs (1–4, 1–3 NSIC)

L 51–6 @ Wayne State (NE)

W 40–20 vs University of Mary

L 12–7 vs Jamestown

L 51–23 @ Minnesota State Moorhead

L 27–21 vs Northern State

Offense: 17.4 PPG Defense: 36.2 PPG

Series History

All‑time: Minnesota Duluth dominates the series

Recent:

2024: UMD 62–0

2023: UMD 33–6

Trend: UMD has won 10+ straight meetings, often by large margins.

ATS (Against the Spread):

UMD: 4–1 ATS last 5

SMSU: 1–4 ATS last 5

Historical Betting Results:

UMD has covered in 3 of last 4 vs SMSU

SMSU has failed to cover in 4 of last 5 NSIC games

Projected Score: Minnesota Duluth 45 – Southwest Minnesota State 13

Game Odds

Southwest Minnesota State Mustangs                   53.5

Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs                                        – 28

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 3, 2025