Venue & Game Info
Date & Time: Thursday, September 4, 2025 – 7:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Northwell Stadium, Pleasantville, NY
Surface: Artificial Turf
Capacity: ~3,500
Broadcast: NE10 Now on FloSports (subscription), Radio: Bigfoot Country Poconos 96.7/97.3 FM
Weather Forecast (Pleasantville, NY – Kickoff)
Conditions: Mostly cloudy with a chance of light showers
Temperature: ~78°F (26°C) at kickoff, cooling to ~70°F by the 4th quarter
Wind: SSE at 5–8 mph
Humidity: ~65%
Impact: Mild — possible slick turf if showers occur, but wind should not significantly affect passing or kicking.
Injury Report
Pace: No major injuries reported; RB Tyreek Smith and WR Israel Lopez both available after strong 2024 campaigns.
East Stroudsburg: No significant absences; RB duo Tyriq Lewis and Tahir Mills healthy after combining for 174 rush yards in Week 0 vs. Edinboro.
Recent Team Form
Team
Pace Setters
Last 5 games: L 14–41 @ New Haven, L 7–14 vs Assumption, L 30–35 @ S. Connecticut, L 7–14 vs AIC, W 26–20 vs St. Anselm
Notable Trends: 1–4 in last 5; offense averaged just 16.2 ppg; defense kept 3 games within one score.
Team
East Stroudsburg Warriors
Last 5 Games: L 14–29 vs Edinboro, W 22–19 @ Clarion, W 28–7 vs Shepherd, W 45–0 @ Shippensburg, W 38–35 vs Lock Haven
Notable Trends: 4–1 in last 5; balanced offense, opportunistic defense (forced 3 turnovers vs Edinboro in 2025 opener).
Series History
All-Time: East Stroudsburg leads 5–1
Last Meeting: Sept. 5, 2024 – ESU 41, Pace 6 (in Pleasantville)
Notable: ESU has won the last two meetings by a combined 103–15; Pace’s lone win came in 2022 (31–16 at home).
Largest Margin: ESU 62–9 (2023).
Betting Trends
ESU: 4‑1 ATS in last 5 games; 5‑1 SU vs Pace all‑time.
Pace: 2‑8 ATS in last 10 overall; 1‑4 ATS in last 5 home games.
Over has hit in 3 of last 4 ESU games vs NE10 opponents.
ESU has scored 40+ in 3 of last 4 meetings with Pace.
Suggested Wagering Model
Model Inputs:
ESU’s rushing efficiency + turnover margin advantage (top‑10 nationally in 2024).
Pace’s offensive struggles vs top PSAC defenses.
Historical scoring margins in series.
Edges:
Lean: East Stroudsburg ‑17.5 (moderate value)
Total: Lean Over 50.5 — ESU’s offense likely to produce 30+; Pace could find late points.
Game Odds
Pace Setters 50.5
East Stroudsburg Warriors – 17.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Wednesday, September 3, 2025







