Venue & Game Details
Kickoff Time: 6:00 PM CT (7:00 PM ET / 4:00 PM PT)
Venue: Astound Broadband Stadium, Midland, Texas (Capacity ~15,000, turf surface)
Broadcast: ESPN+ / Lone Star Conference Digital Network
Theme: Family Weekend / Orange Out at UTPB
Weather Forecast (Midland, TX)
Temperature: ~84°F (29°C) at kickoff, cooling into the mid-70s by the 4th quarter
Conditions: Mostly sunny, light winds (6–10 mph)
Precipitation:
Impact: Warm but comfortable; no weather disruptions expected
Injury Report (Projected)
(Note: LSC programs rarely release official injury reports; this is based on recent availability trends)
Midwestern State Mustangs:
QB healthy, but has thrown 4 INTs in last two games.
RB1 probable (ankle).
Secondary missing one starter (questionable).
UT Permian Basin Falcons:
QB healthy, threw 3 TDs vs Texas A&M–Kingsville.
WR1 probable (hamstring).
DL depth thin after Week 2 injury.
Key Player Matchups
UTPB QB vs. Midwestern Secondary
The Falcons have averaged 39.3 PPG in their first three games. MSU’s DBs must avoid giving up explosive plays.
Midwestern QB vs. UTPB Pass Rush
MSU has struggled with turnovers. UTPB’s front seven has forced multiple takeaways in each of its first three games.
Special Teams
UTPB has been consistent in the kicking game, while MSU has had miscues in coverage. Field position could be decisive.
Recent Team Form
UT Permian Basin (3–0, 1–0 LSC):
W vs Central Oklahoma (34–14)
W @ Adams State (41–7)
W @ Texas A&M–Kingsville (43–30)
Strength: Explosive offense, balanced attack, opportunistic defense.
Weakness: Defense has allowed 30+ in one game.
Midwestern State (1–2, 0–1 LSC):
L @ Missouri Southern (33–19)
L @ Western Colorado (38–13)
L vs Eastern New Mexico (56–31)
Strength: Passing game shows flashes of explosiveness.
Weakness: Defense allowing 42.3 PPG, turnover margin -6.
Conference vs. Conference
Both teams are Lone Star Conference rivals.
UTPB: Ranked in the Top 25 nationally, looking to stay unbeaten.
Midwestern State: Rebuilding, desperate to avoid a 0–4 start.
Series History
All-time series: UTPB leads recent matchups.
Recent meetings:
2024: UTPB 27, Midwestern State 10
2023: UTPB 21, Midwestern State 13
Trend: UTPB has won the last two meetings, both by multiple scores.
Betting Trends:
UTPB is 3–0 ATS this season (modeled).
Midwestern State is 0–3 ATS this season.
UTPB games have gone Over in 2 of 3 due to offensive firepower.
MSU games have gone Over in all 3 due to defensive struggles.
Historical Betting Results (Modeled)
2024: UTPB -6.5 (covered, won 27–10)
2023: UTPB -3.5 (covered, won 21–13)
2022: Midwestern State +7.5 (covered, lost 24–21)
2021: Midwestern State -4.5 (covered, won 28–17)
Game Odds
Midwestern State Mustangs 58
UT Permian Basin Falcons – 14.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 26, 2025
