D2-CFB Game Preview: Harding Bisons (2-0) vs. Southern Arkansas Muleriders (2-0)

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Kickoff: 6:00 PM CT (7:00 PM ET / 4:00 PM PT)
Venue: Wilkins Stadium, Magnolia, Arkansas (Capacity: ~6,000)
Broadcast: ESPN+ / GAC Digital Network / Harding Sports Radio

Weather Forecast (Magnolia, AR)

Temperature: ~92°F (33°C) at kickoff, cooling into the mid-80s by the 4th quarter

Conditions: Mostly sunny, humid, light winds (5–8 mph)

Impact: Heat and humidity could test depth and conditioning, especially for defenses.

Injury Report

Harding (2–0, ranked #2 AFCA/D2Football):

QB Cole Keylon – Healthy; making his 43rd career start, the winningest QB in GAC history (38–4 record).

RB Braden Jay – Healthy; NCAA active career leader in yards per rush (12.5 YPC).

LB Clark Griffin – Healthy; NCAA DII active leader with 297 career tackles.

No major injuries reported; depth intact.

Southern Arkansas (2–0, receiving votes):

QB starter rotation – Healthy; offense averaging 486 YPG.

RB committee – Healthy; balanced rushing attack.

WR top unit – Healthy; multiple explosive plays through first two games.

Defense – Healthy, but facing its toughest test yet against Harding’s option attack.

Key Player Matchups

QB Cole Keylon (Harding) vs. SAU Linebackers

Keylon is the only player in Harding history with 2,000+ rushing and 2,000+ passing yards. His dual-threat ability will stress SAU’s second level.

RB Braden Jay (Harding) vs. SAU Front Seven

Jay rushed for 136 yards and a 73-yard TD on just seven carries in last year’s meeting.

LB Clark Griffin (Harding) vs. SAU Offense

Griffin anchors a defense that has held opponents scoreless on 21 straight possessions.

SAU QB & WR Corps vs. Harding Secondary

SAU averages 486 YPG, but Harding’s defense is allowing just 2.73 yards per play (2nd in DII).

Recent Team Form

Harding Bisons (2–0, 2–0 GAC, #2 nationally)

9/11: W 55–0 vs. Southwestern Oklahoma State

9/4: W 49–7 @ Northwestern Oklahoma State

Trend: Offense averaging 52 PPG; defense allowing just 3.5 PPG.

Southern Arkansas Muleriders (2–0, 2–0 GAC)

9/4: W 49–14 vs. Oklahoma Baptist

8/30: W 38–21 vs. Arkansas Tech

Trend: Offense averaging 43.5 PPG; defense allowing 17.5 PPG.

Series History

All-time series: Harding leads 32–27–1.

Last meeting (2024): Harding won 49–17 in Searcy, AR.

Harding has won 9 of the last 10 meetings.

SAU’s last win came in 2016.

Betting Trends

Harding:

8–2 SU in last 10 games.

7–3 ATS in last 10.

Unders hit in 6 of last 10.

Southern Arkansas:

6–4 SU in last 10 games.

5–5 ATS in last 10.

Overs hit in 7 of last 10.

Head-to-Head: Harding has covered in 7 of the last 9 meetings.

Historical Betting Results

Harding: Profitable ATS as a road favorite; unders common when defense dominates.

Southern Arkansas: Struggles ATS against ranked GAC opponents; overs frequent when defense falters.

GAC Trends: Ranked road favorites cover ~61% of the time in September conference games.

Game Odds

Harding Bisons                                  56

Southern Arkansas Muleriders  – 14

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 19, 2025