D2-CFB Game Preview: Concordia–St. Paul Golden Bears (1-2) vs. Northern State Wolves (2-1)

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Kickoff: 2:30 PM CT (3:30 PM ET)
Venue: Dacotah Bank Stadium, Aberdeen, South Dakota (Capacity: ~4,000)
Broadcast: NSIC Network / ESPN+

Weather Forecast (Aberdeen, SD)

Temperature: ~74°F (23°C) at kickoff, cooling into the upper 60s by evening

Conditions: Mostly sunny, light winds (6–9 mph)

Impact: Ideal Gypsy Days homecoming weather; no disruptions expected.

Injury Report

Concordia–St. Paul (1–2, 0–1 NSIC):

QB Drew Helleson – Healthy, 3 TDs, 2 INTs through three games.

RB Jalen Williams – Healthy, 198 rushing yards, 2 TDs.

WR Tyler Nissen – Healthy, 15 receptions, 2 TDs.

Defense – No major injuries reported, but unit has allowed 30+ in two of three games.

Northern State (2–1, 1–0 NSIC):

QB Michael Bonds – Healthy, 6 TDs, 1 INT.

RB Isaiah Cherrier – Healthy, 245 rushing yards, 3 TDs.

WR Trey King – Healthy, 220 yards, 2 TDs.

LB Caden Bolte – Healthy, 28 tackles, 2 sacks, 1 forced fumble.

Key Player Matchups

QB Michael Bonds (NSU) vs. CSP Secondary

Bonds has been efficient and turnover-free; CSP’s defense has struggled against accurate passers.

RB Isaiah Cherrier (NSU) vs. CSP Front Seven

Cherrier’s ability to control tempo could wear down a Golden Bears defense that has struggled against the run.

WR Tyler Nissen (CSP) vs. NSU Corners

Nissen is CSP’s most reliable target; Northern must limit his red-zone impact.

LB Caden Bolte (NSU) vs. CSP Offensive Line

Bolte is one of the NSIC’s top tacklers; his ability to disrupt plays could swing momentum.

Recent Team Form

Concordia–St. Paul Golden Bears (1–2, 0–1 NSIC)

9/13: L 27–21 @ Minot State

9/6: L 47–6 vs. Minnesota Duluth

8/29: W 38–7 @ Quincy

Trend: Offense inconsistent; defense giving up 27.7 PPG.

Northern State Wolves (2–1, 1–0 NSIC)

9/13: W 33–6 vs. Wayne State (NE)

9/6: L 42–28 @ Sioux Falls

8/30: W 26–7 vs. Jamestown

Trend: Balanced offense (29.0 PPG) and strong defense (18.3 PPG allowed).

Series History

All-time series: Northern State leads 6–5.

Last meeting (2024): Concordia–St. Paul won 35–34 in St. Paul.

2023: Northern State won 20–14 in Aberdeen.

The last five meetings are split 3–2 in favor of Northern State.

Betting Trends

Concordia–St. Paul:

2–3 SU in last 5 games.

2–3 ATS in last 5.

Overs hit in 3 of last 5.

Northern State:

3–2 SU in last 5 games.

3–2 ATS in last 5.

Unders hit in 3 of last 5.

Head-to-Head: Last two meetings split 1–1; both decided by 7 points or fewer.

Historical Betting Results

Concordia–St. Paul: Struggles ATS as a road underdog; overs common when defense falters.

Northern State: Profitable ATS at home in September; unders frequent when defense dominates.

NSIC Trends: Home favorites cover ~59% of the time in September conference games.

Game Odds

Concordia–St. Paul Golden Bears              52

Northern State Wolves                                 – 10.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 19, 2025