Venue & Game Details
Location: BMO Field, Toronto, Ontario
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
Broadcast: TSN, RDS, CFL+ (international)
Weather Forecast (Toronto): Partly cloudy, ~64°F at kickoff, light winds (6–8 mph). Weather should not significantly impact passing or kicking.
Team Records & Recent Form
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (9‑6): Clinched a playoff berth, leading the East Division. However, they were humbled 40‑3 by Winnipeg in Week 17, raising concerns about consistency. Last 3 games: 2‑1, averaging 21.3 PPG while allowing 29.3.
Toronto Argonauts (5‑10): Fighting to stay alive in the playoff race. Last 3 games: 1‑2, but covered the spread twice. Averaging 24.0 PPG while allowing 26.0.
Injury Report
Hamilton: QB Bo Levi Mitchell is healthy but coming off a poor outing (212 yards, 0 TDs vs. Winnipeg). WR Tim White remains a key target.
Toronto: QB Nick Arbuckle has returned from a calf injury and threw for 281 yards last week. OL depth remains thin, which could expose him to Hamilton’s pass rush.
Key Player Matchups
Bo Levi Mitchell (HAM) vs. Toronto Secondary: Mitchell leads the CFL in passing yards (4,406) and TDs (28). Toronto’s defense allows 257.7 passing yards per game, vulnerable to deep shots.
Nick Arbuckle (TOR) vs. Hamilton Pass Defense: Arbuckle ranks second in passing yards and must exploit Hamilton’s secondary, which has been giving up 272.6 yards per game.
Hamilton Ground Game vs. Toronto Run Defense: Hamilton averages 94.3 rushing yards per game, while Toronto manages just 52.7. This disparity could tilt late‑game control.
Receivers Battle: Hamilton’s Tim White and Toronto’s Kurleigh Gittens Jr. both provide explosive playmaking.
Series History
2025 Meetings: Hamilton won 51‑38 in Week 5; Toronto edged Hamilton 35‑33 in Week 13. This game decides the season series.
All‑Time: Longstanding East Division rivalry; Hamilton has had the upper hand in recent years.
Betting Trends
Hamilton is 6‑9 ATS despite a winning record.
Toronto is 7‑8 ATS this season.
Hamilton has gone Under in 9 of 15 games.
Toronto is 7‑7‑1 O/U, with recent games trending higher scoring.
Last two meetings combined for 89 and 68 points respectively.
GAME ODDS
Hamilton Tiger-Cats – 1.5
Toronto Argonauts 57.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, October 3, 2025
