ATP250 Tennis Preview: Mifel Tennis Open

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Dates: July 14–19, 2025
Location: Cabo Sports Complex, Los Cabos, Mexico
Surface: Outdoor Hard Court (Solflex)
Category: ATP 250
Draw Size: 28 Singles | 16 Doubles
Prize Money: $889,890
Defending Champion: Jordan Thompson

Playing Conditions

Court Speed: Slowest hard court on the ATP Tour

Bounce: High — favors topspin-heavy baseline players

Humidity: Significant, especially in night matches

Temperature: 88–90°F (31–32°C), even after sunset

Ball Type: Wilson — suits grinders and patient rally builders

Day vs. Night: Huge contrast; night matches slow down dramatically

Top Seeds & Players to Watch

SeedPlayerCountryATP Rank
1Andrey Rublev🇷🇺 Russia14
2Alejandro Davidovich Fokina🇪🇸 Spain27
3Denis Shapovalov🇨🇦 Canada30
4Quentin Halys🇫🇷 France46
5Daniel Altmaier🇩🇪 Germany57
6Bu Yunchaokete🇨🇳 China71
7Aleksandar Kovacevic🇺🇸 USA76
8Adam Walton🇦🇺 Australia90

Wildcards:

Luis Carlos Álvarez

Alex Hernández

Rodrigo Pacheco Méndez

Qualifiers:

Alan Magadán

Nicolás Mejía

Govind Nanda

Wu Yibing

Matchups to Watch (Round of 32)

Adam Walton vs. Rodrigo Pacheco Méndez — Walton favored with a 70% win probability

Aleksandar Vukic vs. Emilio Nava — Even odds, both seeking breakthrough wins

Adrian Mannarino vs. James Duckworth — Mannarino leads H2H 3–1 but struggles on hard courts

Tournament Predictions & Betting Favorites

PlayerOdds to Win
Andrey Rublev+200
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina+450
Denis Shapovalov+600
Quentin Halys+1100
Colton Smith+1400

How to Watch

Live Broadcast: Tennis Channel, ESPN+, Fubo

Streaming: bet365 (with funded account)

Final Thoughts

The 2025 Mifel Tennis Open is more than just another ATP 250 — it’s a test of endurance, adaptability, and mental toughness. With slow courts and humid nights, expect baseline grinders like Rublev and Davidovich Fokina to thrive, while big servers may struggle. Keep an eye on Shapovalov’s resurgence, and don’t rule out a surprise finalist from the qualifiers.