Horse Race Preview: Race 6 – Grade III Las Flores Stakes at Oaklawn Park

Venue and Race Overview

Santa Anita Park is located at 285 W Huntington Dr, Arcadia, CA 91007. The Grade III Las Flores Stakes, a $100,000 stakes race for fillies and mares 4 years old and up, is scheduled for Sunday, January 4, 2026, with a post time of 2:30 PM PT. This six-furlong dirt sprint is a key early-year test for older females, often serving as a prep for longer graded stakes. The one-turn setup on Santa Anita’s main dirt track typically favors tactical speed, but strong finishers can thrive if the pace is hot.

Expected Weather and Track Conditions

Based on forecasts for Arcadia, CA, on January 4, 2026, expect a high of 61°F and a low of 52°F, with a 60% chance of rain and winds from the east at 6 mph. Humidity will be around 70%, with potential for periods of rain. These conditions could result in a “good” or “sloppy” dirt track if precipitation occurs, favoring horses with proven wet-track form, as Santa Anita’s surface can become tiring for front-runners in off going but often maintains a speed bias when sealed.

Field Analysis

This compact field of five battle-tested older fillies and mares features high-class performers like Thermal (towering 121 ESF) and Magnificat (consistent allowance winner), alongside Baffert trainees Nafisa and Ooty with upside. Thermal’s speed figures make her the one to beat, but Margarita Girl’s recent dominance adds value. The six-furlong distance suits sprinters, with potential early pressure from Nafisa setting up closers like Thermal. Below is a detailed breakdown, including post position, jockey, trainer, morning line odds (estimated based on form and figures; check tote for live odds), weight (standard for G3, with allowances for age/experience), recent finishes (last three with dates, tracks, distances, positions, and Equibase Speed Figures), and analysis.