NHL Game Preview: Pittsburgh Penguins (14-7-5) vs. Dallas Stars (19-5-5)

0
47
Dallas Stars logo

The Pittsburgh Penguins (14-7-5) travel to face the scorching-hot Dallas Stars (19-5-5) in a marquee inter-conference battle that pits Eastern Conference grit against Western Conference firepower. Pittsburgh enters on a four-game win streak, including a thrilling 4-3 comeback victory over Tampa Bay on Thursday, buoyed by Sidney Crosby’s leadership and a resurgent power play (34.4%, league-best). The Stars, riding a nine-game point streak (7-0-2), dominated San Jose 4-1 on Friday behind Mikko Rantanen’s three-point night, showcasing their elite finishing (13.3% shooting, 4th in NHL) despite mounting injuries on defense. At American Airlines Center, expect a clash of styles: Pittsburgh’s structured forecheck versus Dallas’s lethal rush, with the Stars aiming to extend their Central Division lead while the Penguins hunt a statement road win to climb the Metropolitan ladder.

Game Details

Puckdrop: 6:00 p.m. ET

Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas (capacity: 18,532)

Broadcast: ESPN+, Victory+ (Stars), Sportsnet Pittsburgh (Penguins)

This primetime tilt opens a light Sunday slate, with Dallas wrapping a four-game homestand (9-4-1 at home) and Pittsburgh kicking off a three-game road swing. The Dallas faithful will pack the arena, where the Stars have outscored opponents 35-24 this season.

Injury Report

Injuries are hitting both squads hard, particularly Dallas’s blue line, which has lost depth amid a grueling schedule. Pittsburgh’s forward group takes the brunt, but their depth has held firm during the streak.

TeamPlayerPositionStatusInjuryEstimated ReturnNotes
Pittsburgh PenguinsRickard RakellRWOutHandDecember 282G-6A in 9GP before injury; key top-six scorer.
Pittsburgh PenguinsNoel AcciariCOutUpper BodyDecember 9Penalty-killing specialist; day-to-day but unlikely.
Pittsburgh PenguinsJustin BrazeauRWOutUpper BodyTBDTraveled on road trip; nearing return but sidelined.
Pittsburgh PenguinsFilip HallanderCInjured ReserveLeg (Blood Clot)February 2026Long-term; minimal impact as depth piece.
Pittsburgh PenguinsCaleb JonesDOutLower BodyDecember 200G-1A in 7GP; third-pairing role.
Pittsburgh PenguinsJack St. IvanyDOutLower BodyDecember 9Conditioning loan to AHL; prospect depth.
Dallas StarsTyler SeguinCOut (LTIR)ACL (Torn)April 2026Captain; 10G-9A in 27GP before injury—massive void.
Dallas StarsMatt DucheneCDay-to-Day (Doubtful)Upper BodyDecember 7Practiced Saturday; 1G-1A in 4GP recently.
Dallas StarsThomas HarleyDDay-to-DayLower BodyDecember 91G-9A in 18GP; practiced but workload concerns.
Dallas StarsNils LundkvistDDay-to-DayLower BodyDecember 91G-2A in 4GP; blue-line depth hit.
Dallas StarsLian BichselDOut (LTIR)Lower BodyDecember 7Rookie; 0P in limited action.
Dallas StarsAdam ErneLWOutLower BodyDecember 7Bottom-six energy; LTIR retroactive.

Impact: Dallas’s D corps is depleted (Harley/Lundkvist day-to-day), forcing Esa Lindell into 25+ minutes and exposing the third pair—Pittsburgh’s rush could exploit. Penguins’ absences weaken secondary scoring, but Crosby/Malkin duo carries the load.

Key Player Matchups

With injuries thinning rosters, this game’s tempo hinges on star duels and netminding. Dallas’s efficiency meets Pittsburgh’s opportunism—watch for power-play battles (Stars 31.9%, Penguins 34.4%).

Sidney Crosby (PIT, C) vs. Miro Heiskanen (DAL, D): Crosby (18G-11A-29P, team-high 29.0% shooting) is scorching with 7G in last 5; Heiskanen (5G-20A-25P, +5) quarterbacks Dallas’s transition (team-high 25:54 TOI). Crosby’s edge in faceoffs (52%) could tilt possession. Edge: Crosby—hotter streak.

Evgeni Malkin (PIT, C) vs. Jamie Benn (DAL, C): Malkin (8G-21A-29P) dazzled with 3P Thursday (2G-1A); Benn (on 4GP point streak vs. PIT: 3G-2A) brings veteran snarl (8G-10A). Malkin’s creativity vs. Benn’s physicality. Edge: Malkin—playmaking wizardry.

Jason Robertson (DAL, RW) vs. Kris Letang (PIT, D): Robertson (18G-19A-37P, team-high 18G) thrives on the rush (15.4% shooting); Letang (team-high assists) logs heavy minutes but -2 rating lately. Robertson’s volume (117 SOG) tests Letang’s gaps. Edge: Robertson—goal-scoring machine.

Goalie Duel: Tristan Jarry (PIT) vs. Jake Oettinger (DAL): Jarry (9-2-0, 2.61 GAA, .913 SV%) wins in clutch (4-0 L5 starts); Oettinger (13-4-2, 2.52 GAA, .908 SV%) owns home ice (9-2-1, 2.21 GAA). Edge: Oettinger—streaky dominance.

Projected Lines (Subject to change):
Penguins:
Crosby-Rust-Mantha | Malkin-Eller-Hayes | McCann-Nieves-Puustinen | Graves-Gruden | Letang-Dumoulin

Stars: Robertson-Hintz-Rantanen | Johnston-Strome-Benn | Marchment-Duchene (if active)-duchene | Heiskanen-Lindell | Tanev-Suter

Team Records and Standings

TeamRecordPointsGoal Diff.Home/AwayDivision Rank
Pittsburgh Penguins14-7-533+126-4-2 Home / 8-3-3 Away4th Metro
Dallas Stars19-5-543+279-4-1 Home / 10-1-4 Away2nd Central

Penguins lead NHL in PP% (34.4%) but rank 15th in GA/G (2.73); Stars 4th in GF/G (3.45) and 6th in GA/G (2.52), with elite SV% (.909).

Recent Team Forms

Pittsburgh’s streak masks underlying shot issues (27.2 SOG/G, 20th), while Dallas’s point run thrives on third-period surges (18 GF in L9).

Penguins Last 5 Games (4-1-0):

DateOpponentResultKey Notes
Dec. 4@ TBLW 4-3Malkin 2G-1A; 3/4 PP, Jarry 37 saves.
Dec. 1@ PHIW 5-1Crosby GWG; 3/4 PP explosion.
Nov. 29vs. TORL 2-7Defensive meltdown; 1/3 PP allowed.
Nov. 28@ CBJW 4-3Rust 2G; comeback from 3-1 down.
Nov. 26vs. BUFW 4-2Crosby 2A; strong PK (4/4).

Stars Last 5 Games (4-0-1):

DateOpponentResultKey Notes
Dec. 5vs. SJSW 4-1Rantanen 1G-2A; 3 goals in 3rd.
Dec. 3vs. NJDW 3-0Oettinger shutout (28 saves); PK 4/4.
Dec. 2@ NYRL 2-3 (OT)Robertson 2A; 35 SOG outshot.
Nov. 30vs. WPGW 5-2Johnston hat trick; offensive barrage.
Nov. 28@ MINW 4-3 (SO)Heiskanen GWG in SO; resilient road win.

Penguins 7-3-0 L10 (3.2 GF/G); Stars 8-1-1 L10 (3.4 GF/G).

Series History

These franchises have met 162 times (regular + playoffs), with Pittsburgh holding a slim 78-70-12 edge overall (51.9% win rate), including a 74-68-12-2 regular-season mark (51.3%). The Penguins won the 1991 Cup Final in 6 games (4-2), but Dallas owns recent dominance: 6-2 in last 8 regular-season tilts, outscoring PIT 32-22. At home, Stars are 3-8 SU in last 11 vs. Penguins, but they’ve covered in 7 of last 9 H2H. Average goals: 5.8 per game.

Betting Trends

Puck Line: DAL covers 55% as -200+ faves.

Total (O/U): Under 9-2 in PIT’s last 11 road vs. DAL; 7-3 Under for Stars L10 home.

Trends: Penguins 2-6 SU last 8 H2H; Stars 7-0-2 L9 (point streak). PIT 3-10 SU last 13 road vs. DAL. Sharp action on Under 6.5 (projected 5.9 goals).

Game Odds

Pittsburgh Penguins       6.5

Dallas Stars                         – 205

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, December 6, 2025