NBA Game Preview: Denver Nuggets (15-6) vs. Atlanta Hawks (13-10)

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The Denver Nuggets aim to extend their franchise-record road winning streak when they invade State Farm Arena for a Friday night showdown with the Atlanta Hawks. With Denver’s league-leading offense clicking on all cylinders—fueled by Jamal Murray’s recent explosion and Nikola Jokić’s triple-double mastery—this matchup pits the Nuggets’ altitude-honed efficiency against Atlanta’s assist-heavy attack amid a rash of injuries. The Hawks, clinging to play-in contention in the East, desperately need a signature win to halt their slide, but Denver’s 5-game head-to-head dominance and superior net rating make them heavy favorites. Expect a track meet early, but Denver’s rebounding edge could seal a defensive grind late in this non-conference clash, the second of three meetings this season (Nuggets won the opener 139-120 on Jan. 1).

Venue and Game Details

Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia (home of the Atlanta Hawks; capacity: 18,118). The downtown staple, opened in 1999, has been a house of horrors for road teams lately (Hawks 4-5 home), but its high-energy crowd could spark Atlanta in this primetime spot.

Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET (5:30 p.m. MT)

Broadcast: FanDuel SportsNet Southeast (Hawks local), Altitude TV (Nuggets local), NBA TV (national). Streaming on NBA League Pass, Fubo, and YouTube TV.

Both squads are well-rested after Wednesday wins (Denver over Indiana) and losses (Atlanta to the Clippers), setting up a fresh battle with no back-to-back fatigue.

Team Records

TeamOverall RecordHome/Away SplitConference StandingRecent Streak
Denver Nuggets15-6 (.714)6-4 home / 9-2 away5th in Western Conference (5.5 GB behind OKC)W1 (8-game road win streak)
Atlanta Hawks13-10 (.565)4-5 home / 9-5 away8th in Eastern Conference (5.0 GB behind CLE)L2 (7-3 in last 10)

Denver leads the NBA in scoring (125.1 PPG) and ranks 14th in defense (116.0 allowed), boasting a +9.1 net rating (3rd). Atlanta sits 18th in offense (116.8 PPG) but 12th in defense (115.7 allowed), with a +1.1 net rating (15th) propped up by league-leading assists (30.4 APG).

Recent Team Forms

The Nuggets are surging, winners of four of their last five behind elite ball movement and Jokić’s orchestration. Jamal Murray’s 52-point eruption (19-25 FG, 10-11 3PT) powered a 135-120 rout of Indiana on Dec. 3, where Jokić flirted with a triple-double (29 PTS, 20 REB, 13 AST). Prior: a 131-121 home loss to Dallas on Dec. 1 exposed turnover issues (17), but Denver rebounded with a 123-112 road win over Minnesota on Nov. 29. Over the last 5 games (4-1): W 135-120 at IND, L 121-131 vs. DAL, W 123-112 at MIN, W 130-116 at LAC, W 127-114 vs. NOP. Average: 127.2 PPG scored, 118.6 allowed (+8.6 margin). Road form is lights-out (9-2, 8 straight wins), with 48.5% FG shooting away.

Atlanta’s form has cooled after a hot November, dropping two straight amid injury chaos that sapped their scoring punch. A dismal 92-115 home thud to the Clippers on Dec. 3 highlighted defensive lapses (allowing 53% FG), despite Onyeka Okongwu’s 7 PTS/9 REB. Before: a 99-98 road heartbreaker to Detroit on Dec. 1, where Cade Cunningham’s late surge doomed them. Over the last 5 games (2-3): L 92-115 vs. LAC, L 98-99 at DET, W 142-134 (2OT) at PHI (Nov. 30), W 128-121 vs. BKN (Nov. 28), W 113-105 vs. WAS (Nov. 25). Average: 114.6 PPG scored, 116.6 allowed (-2.0 margin). Home unders hit 5/7 (44.4% over rate), but their assist machine (30.4 APG) thrives in transition.

Injury Report

Injuries are decimating Atlanta’s frontcourt depth, while Denver monitors minor tweaks. Expect pre-tip clarifications, as both lists are fluid.

TeamPlayerStatusInjury/DetailsImpact
NuggetsSpencer Jones (F)QuestionableKnee (day-to-day; limited in practice)Fringe rotation (2.0 PPG); minimal if out, but tests bench depth.
NuggetsJamal Murray (G)ProbableRight ankle sprain (questionable mid-week; cleared for IND game)Co-star (24.7 PPG); exploded for 52 vs. IND—if limited, Christian Braun’s absence hurts spacing.
NuggetsAaron Gordon (F)OutRight hamstring strain (4-6 weeks; re-eval mid-Dec)Versatile defender (16.0 PPG); Michael Porter Jr. slides to SF, exposing mismatches.
NuggetsChristian Braun (G)OutLeft ankle sprain (6 weeks; suffered vs. LAC)Sixth man spark (11.4 PPG); Julian Strawther steps up off bench.
NuggetsJulian Strawther (G)OutLower back (no timetable; missed last two)Shooter (9.7 PPG); further thins wing rotation.
HawksTrae Young (G)OutRight knee MCL sprain (since Oct. 29; re-eval Dec. 12)Franchise PG (17.8 PPG, 7.8 APG in 5 games); Dyson Daniels absorbs playmaking, but scoring dips 10+ PPG without him.
HawksJacob Toppin (F)OutRight shoulder sprain (two-way contract)Depth wing (3.4 MPG); negligible, but adds to frontcourt strain.
HawksJalen Johnson (F)QuestionableCalf strain (missed vs. LAC; day-to-day)Do-it-all leader (23.2 PPG, 10.0 RPG, 7.3 APG); Hawks 4-6 without him, offense craters (105.3 PPG).
HawksKristaps Porziņģis (C)QuestionableIllness (limited practice; missed prior)Stretch big (10.5 PPG); if out, Onyeka Okongwu logs 35+ MPG (6.3 RPG).
HawksN’Faly Dante (C)QuestionableKnee (day-to-day; return-to-comp reconditioning)Backup rim protector; heavy minutes if Porziņģis sits.
HawksNikola Đurišić (SF)OutElbow (rookie; G-League assignment)Developmental; no rotation impact.

Key Player Matchups

Denver’s paint dominance tests Atlanta’s depleted interior, while the Hawks’ perimeter creation faces Nuggets’ length. Jokić’s gravity could exploit gaps.

Nikola Jokić (DEN) vs. Onyeka Okongwu (ATL): Jokić’s triple-threat (28.7 PPG, 12.8 RPG, 11.1 APG) vs. Okongwu’s athleticism (10.5 PPG, 6.3 RPG). Jokić owned prior meetings (30+ PTS/10+ AST). Edge: Jokić.

Jamal Murray (DEN) vs. Dyson Daniels (ATL): Murray’s hot hand (24.7 PPG, 41.5% 3PT) vs. Daniels’ defense (1.1 SPG). Daniels fills Young’s void but lacks scoring punch. Edge: Murray post-52-PT game.

Michael Porter Jr. (DEN) vs. Zaccharie Risacher (ATL): Porter’s volume shooting (18.9 PPG, 42.7% 3PT in Dec) vs. Risacher’s rookie length (11.4 PPG). Gordon’s absence elevates Porter. Edge: Porter.

Russell Westbrook (DEN) vs. Nickeil Alexander-Walker (ATL): Westbrook’s energy (12.0 PPG, 7.1 APG in Dec) vs. Alexander-Walker’s scoring (21.5 PPG in Nov). Bench battle for pace control. Edge: Westbrook.

Aaron Jones (DEN) vs. Kobe Bufkin (ATL): Jones’ spot minutes vs. Bufkin’s emergence (18.7 PPG). Youth vs. experience off bench. Edge: Even.

Watch Atlanta’s assists (30.4) vs. Denver’s turnover-forcing D (top-5 opp 3PT%).

Series History

The Nuggets-Hawks matchup lacks Finals lore but features competitive tilts, with Denver surging lately. 101 regular-season games since 1976.

All-Time Regular Season: Hawks lead 52-49 (51.5%). Last 10 RS: Nuggets 6-4.

All-Time Playoffs: None (0-0).

Overall: Hawks 52-49 (51.5%).

Recent: Nuggets won last 5 straight, including 139-120 (Jan. 1, 2025 at DEN), 141-111 (Dec. 8, 2024 at ATL), 142-110 (Apr. 6, 2024 at DEN). Averages: 135.8-110.2 scores (Nuggets +25.6 margin). Overs hit 80% in last 5.

Denver’s road teams win 60% ATS in series; totals lean over (63.9%) when Denver scores 120+.

Betting Trends

Spread: Nuggets 12-9 ATS overall (9-2 road). Hawks 12-11 ATS; 8-4 as underdogs (6-3 non-con). Trend: Road favorites cover 4/5 last in series; away teams 7/10 road ATS.

Moneyline: Nuggets 14-5 as heavy favorites (10-4 at -247 or shorter); Hawks 7-4 as dogs.

Total: Hawks games over (57.1%); Nuggets 10/15 road overs. Last 5 H2H: 80% over.

Trend: Overs in 6/8 Nuggets road; unders 5/7 Hawks home.

Predicted Score: Denver Nuggets 122, Atlanta Hawks 116

Game Odds

Denver Nuggets                – 6.5

Atlanta Hawks                   238.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, December 4, 2025