The 2025 Edward Jones Big 12 Football Championship Game caps a thrilling conference race with a rematch loaded with playoff ramifications, as the No. 11 BYU Cougars (11-1, 8-1 Big 12) aim to avenge their lone defeat against the No. 4 Texas Tech Red Raiders (11-1, 8-1 Big 12) at AT&T Stadium. BYU, under Kalani Sitake, has surged with a high-octane passing attack led by QB Bear Bachmeier, ranking top-15 nationally in scoring (35.2 PPG), but their November 8 loss in Lubbock (29-7) exposed vulnerabilities against Tech’s balanced blitz packages. Texas Tech, coached by Joey McGuire, enters as the conference’s hottest team with five straight wins, boasting the Big 12’s top total offense (465.8 YPG) and a opportunistic defense (1.8 turnovers forced per game). This first-ever Big 12 title appearance for both programs—decided by head-to-head tiebreaker—could lock in a top-4 CFP seed for the winner, with Tech favored in a neutral-site clash projected for defensive stands amid potential showers.
Venue and Game Details
Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas (Capacity: 80,000; neutral-site host for Big 12 championships since 2017, featuring the world’s largest video board).
Kickoff: 12:00 p.m. ET (11:00 a.m. CT).
Broadcast: ABC (with streaming on ESPN App, Fubo, and YouTube TV); halftime performance by country star Jon Pardi alongside marching bands.
Weather Forecast
Mild early-winter conditions are expected at kickoff in Arlington, with daytime highs around 63°F under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity (55%). Light winds (5-7 mph from the west) pose minimal disruption, but models show a 20-40% chance of scattered showers in the afternoon—per AccuWeather and WeatherShogun—potentially slicking the FieldTurf and favoring ground games if it materializes. No severe risks; Sitake noted BYU’s acclimation to variable Mountain West weather could help, while McGuire emphasized hydration in the dome-like setup.
Injury Report
Both teams submit to Big 12 availability reporting, with BYU dealing with wideout depth concerns post-Chase Roberts’ hamstring tweak, and Texas Tech monitoring QB Behren Morton’s lower-leg rehab (practicing boot-free). No season-enders for stars, but Tech’s secondary takes hits. Updates from December 2 reports indicate limited practice for several.
| Team | Player | Position | Status | Injury Details |
| BYU | Chase Roberts | WR | Doubtful | Hamstring; left early vs. UCF, 25% chance per report. |
| BYU | Payton VanSteenkiste | S | Doubtful | Undisclosed; limited snaps recently. |
| BYU | Weylin Lapuaho | OG | Questionable | Undisclosed; O-line rotation concern. |
| BYU | Anisi Purcell | DL | Questionable | Undisclosed; missed limited practice. |
| BYU | Ulavai Fetuli | DL | Questionable | Undisclosed; targeting return. |
| BYU | Sione Moa | RB | Out | Undisclosed; sidelined since early season. |
| BYU | Max Alford | LB | Out | Undisclosed; season-long. |
| Texas Tech | Skyler Gill-Howard | DL | Out | Leg; remainder of season. |
| Texas Tech | T.J. West | WR | Out | Undisclosed; missed multiple weeks. |
| Texas Tech | Roy Alexander | WR | Questionable | Undisclosed; day-to-day. |
| Texas Tech | Maurion Horn | CB | Questionable | Undisclosed; secondary depth hit. |
| Texas Tech | Tarrion Grant | DB | Out | Undisclosed; undetermined absence. |
| Texas Tech | Will Hammond | QB | Out | Knee (torn ACL); season-ending. |
BYU RB LJ Martin and Tech QB Behren Morton are probable/full go; backups like McCae Hillstead (BYU QB) and Lloyd Jones III (Tech QB) ready if needed.
Key Player Matchups
Tech’s explosive YPP (6.5) vs. BYU’s turnover-forcing D (top-20, 1.6/game) sets up pressure cooker duels, with QBs under blitz fire (combined 2.4 sacks/game allowed). Red Raiders’ home-like edge at AT&T (5-0 neutral) amplifies their run efficiency.
BYU QB Bear Bachmeier vs. Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez: Bachmeier (2,634 pass yards, 85% adj. completion, 14 TDs) has thrown for 200+ in 10 starts, key to BYU’s No. 12 passing game (295 YPG). Rodriguez (98 tackles, 3.5 sacks) leads Tech’s aggressive front (2.2 sacks/game, 18th nationally), forcing 12% pressure rate—Bachmeier’s 2.1-sec release evaded in wins, but Tech held him to 166 yards in November.
Texas Tech RB Cameron Dickey vs. BYU LB Isaiah Glasker: Dickey (1,200+ rush yards, 5.8 YPC, 12 TDs) anchors Tech’s top-25 ground attack (210 YPG), gashing BYU for 65 yards last time. Glasker (All-Big 12, 105 tackles, 8 TFL) is BYU’s sideline-to-sideline enforcer (No. 1 LB prospect), but Dickey’s burst exploited gaps (4.9 YPC allowed vs. top backs).
BYU WR Parker Kingston vs. Texas Tech CB Maurion Horn: Kingston (team-high 750 rec yards, 8 TDs, 15.2 YPR) stretches defenses in BYU’s spread. Horn (questionable undisclosed, 4 INTs) headlines Tech’s ball-hawking secondary (11 picks), but Kingston’s YAC prowess (6.5 avg.) burned them for 117 yards in 2023 win—coverage tested if Horn sits.
Texas Tech WR Reggie Virgil vs. BYU CB Tayvion Beasley: Virgil (All-Big 12, 800 rec yards, 9 TDs) is Morton’s go-to on crosses (14.4 YPR). Beasley (probable undisclosed, 5 PBUs) bolsters BYU’s top-30 pass D (195 YPG allowed), but Virgil’s slot quickness yielded 72 yards in Lubbock—red-zone battles key (BYU 82% TD rate allowed).
Sims favor Tech’s balance (58% win prob.), but BYU’s +0.9 turnover margin keeps it close if Roberts plays.
Team Records and Season Overview
A head-to-head rematch after Tech’s November dominance; both 8-1 in Big 12, with BYU earning the auto-bid edge via metrics. Cougars’ portal-fueled offense (top-20 YPP) overcame early tests; Red Raiders’ resilience (4-0 in one-score games) includes signature Utah upset.
| Team | Overall Record | Big 12 Record | National Rank (AP) | Offensive PPG | Defensive PPG Allowed |
| BYU | 11-1 | 8-1 | No. 11 | 35.2 | 20.1 |
| Texas Tech | 11-1 | 8-1 | No. 4 | 38.4 | 22.3 |
BYU: Sitake’s squad notched non-con Ws (Portland State 69-0, Stanford 27-3) before conference heater.
Texas Tech: McGuire’s group rebounded from October L (at Oklahoma State) with blowouts, ranking No. 8 in total yards.
Recent Team Forms
BYU enters with three straight wins, averaging 32 PPG while forcing 6 turnovers. Tech rides a five-game streak, outscoring foes 180-45 with dominant lines.
BYU Last 5 Games:
| Date | Opponent | Result | Key Stats |
| Nov 29 | UCF | W 31-24 | Bachmeier: 250 pass yds, 2 TDs; Defense: 2 INTs |
| Nov 22 | at Utah | W 24-21 | Martin: 122 rush yds; Glasker: 12 tackles |
| Nov 15 | at Arizona | W 33-27 (2OT) | Kingston: 117 rec yds; Bachmeier: 172 pass |
| Nov 8 | at Texas Tech | L 7-29 | Turnovers: 3 (picks); 255 total yds |
| Nov 1 | Iowa State | W 38-17 | Passing: 300+ yds; Martin: 2 TDs |
Texas Tech Last 5 Games:
| Date | Opponent | Result | Key Stats |
| Nov 29 | at WVU | W 49-0 | Morton: 300 pass yds; Dickey: 100+ rush |
| Nov 22 | UCF | W 48-9 | Virgil: 2 rec TDs; Defense: Shutout |
| Nov 15 | BYU | W 29-7 | Dickey: 65 rush yds; 3 turnovers forced |
| Nov 8 | Kansas | W 42-17 | Morton: 91 pass, Dickey: 263 rush |
| Oct 25 | at Oklahoma St | L 22-26 | Eakin: 66 rec yds; Close loss |
Series History
Texas Tech leads 2-1 all-time, with recent games averaging 50 points and decided by 13+ margins. BYU’s 2023 home win snapped a drought; Tech’s November rout flipped the script. Neutral-site debut.
| Date | Location | Result (BYU Score – TTU Score) | Notes |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Lubbock, TX | L 7-29 | Tech rolls with 368 yds |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Provo, UT | W 27-14 | BYU’s Big 12 debut win |
| Oct 18, 1940 | Lubbock, TX | L 20-21 | Narrow Tech upset |
BYU’s improved D (up 15% efficiency) eyes reversal, but Tech’s 2-0 home edge persists.
Betting Trends
BYU: 8-4 ATS (66.7%), 5-2 ATS as dogs; 7-5 O/U, overs in 4 of 5 road/neutral. Public 48% on Cougars +13.5.
Texas Tech: 9-3 ATS (75%), 7-1 ATS as 10+ favorites; 8-4 O/U, overs in 6 of 8 conference. Public 62% on Red Raiders ML.
Head-to-Head: Tech 2-1 SU/ATS; unders in 1 of 3 (avg. 50 points).
Advanced: BYU +0.9 turnover margin (public fading road); models project 51 expected points, 56% Tech cover.
Game Odds
BYU Cougars 49.5
Texas Tech Red Raiders – 12.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, December 5, 2025
