The Indianapolis Colts invade Jacksonville for a marquee AFC South battle that could crown a division frontrunner, with both squads locked at 8-4 and eyeing the playoffs. The Colts, stinging from back-to-back losses to open December, lean on Daniel Jones’ steady hand and Jonathan Taylor’s ground dominance to reclaim momentum after a heartbreaking Week 13 defeat to Houston. The Jaguars, surging with four wins in their last five including a 25-3 demolition of Tennessee, counter with Trevor Lawrence’s arm and a league-best rush defense that’s suffocating opponents. Injuries plague both secondaries, potentially unleashing a pass-happy affair in mild Florida conditions, but Jacksonville’s home cooking and recent form tilt the scales toward a gritty, high-stakes grind.
Venue and Game Details
Location: EverBank Stadium, 1 TIAA Bank Field Drive, Jacksonville, FL 32202. The open-air venue seats 67,814 and features a vibrant fanbase, though attendance has fluctuated amid the team’s rebuild—expect a charged atmosphere for this divisional decider.
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET.
Broadcast: CBS: Ian Eagle, JJ Watt, Evan Washburn (field reporter)
Local radio on 97.1 HPTV (IND) and 1010 XL (JAX).
Weather: Mild and player-friendly—partly cloudy with highs near 68°F and evening temps around 55°F. Low 20% chance of scattered showers; light winds (4-8 mph from the east) won’t significantly impact play, per long-range forecasts.
Injury Report
Both teams’ defenses take hits in the backfield, thinning coverage for potent passing attacks. Indianapolis’ kicker carousel adds special teams intrigue. Latest from Tuesday, December 2 practice reports:
| Team | Player | Position | Injury | Practice Status | Est. Game Status |
| Colts | Sauce Gardner | CB | Calf | DNP (Mon/Tue) | Doubtful; strained early Week 13, out minimum 2-3 weeks—secondary exposed without his lockdown coverage. |
| DeForest Buckner | DT | Neck | Limited (Tue) | Questionable; IR since Week 10, eligible Week 15 but “day-to-day”—pass rush dips without him (team-high 6 sacks). | |
| Anthony Richardson | QB | Orbital | DNP (IR) | Out; season-ending, Jones starts (3,041 yds, 19 TD). | |
| Daniel Scott | SAF | Knee | Full (Tue) | Probable; back from IR, bolsters run support. | |
| Spencer Shrader | K | Knee | DNP (IR) | Out; ACL/MCL tear, Badgley waived—Blake Grupe signed as replacement after tryouts. | |
| Michael Badgley | K | N/A | Waived | Out; missed crucial PAT vs. HOU, third this season. | |
| Jaguars | Travon Walker | DE | Knee | DNP (Mon/Tue) | Out; missed Week 13, critical edge rusher (5 sacks)—O-line feasts without him. |
| Anton Harrison | OT | Knee/Ankle | FP (Tue) | Probable; limited early week but trending up—protects Lawrence’s blindside. | |
| Walker Little | OT | Concussion | DNP (Mon/Tue) | Out; suffered Week 13, protocol setback—left tackle depth tested. | |
| Arik Armstead | DT | Hand | Limited (Tue) | Questionable; missed Week 13, sacks leader (5.5)—interior pressure key vs. Taylor. | |
| Parker Washington | WR | Hip | Limited (Tue) | Questionable; exited Week 13 early—depth behind Thomas Jr. strained. | |
| Brian Thomas Jr. | WR | Ankle | Limited (Tue) | Probable; rolled in practice but “good to go”—deep threat (90 yds last game). |
Jacksonville’s front seven weakens sans Walker/Armstead; Indianapolis’ secondary vulnerable if Gardner sits.
Key Player Matchups
This divisional dust-up features balanced offenses against opportunistic defenses. Jacksonville’s No. 1 rush D (82.4 ypg allowed) vs. Taylor’s power; both QBs face secondary gaps.
Daniel Jones (IND QB) vs. Jaguars Secondary (minus Little’s protection impact)
Jones (67.9% comp., 3,041 yds, 19 TD) exploits JAX’s 23rd-ranked pass D (230.1 ypg allowed). With Little out, hurried throws possible, but Jones’ efficiency (101.3 rating) targets slots if Washington limited.
Trevor Lawrence (JAX QB) vs. Colts Front Seven (Buckner?)
Lawrence (59.7% comp., 2,636 yds, 16 TD) vs. IND’s No. 9 rush D (96 ypg allowed). Buckner questionable softens interior; Lawrence’s mobility (5.7 ypc) could scramble for 50+ yds if pressured lightly.
Jonathan Taylor (IND RB) vs. Jaguars Run D
Taylor (226 carries, 1,282 yds, 5.7 ypc) meets NFL’s stingiest front (82.4 ypg, No. 1). Jaguars allow 3.8 ypc to RBs; Taylor’s vision projects 85+ if volume hits 20+ carries.
Travis Etienne Jr. (JAX RB) vs. Colts DL
Etienne (5.7 ypc, 83 ypg) vs. IND’s stout line (No. 6 rush D, 134.4 ypg own). Buckner out opens lanes; Etienne’s burst (15 TD) could hit 90+ in divisional revenge.
Michael Pittman Jr. (IND WR) vs. Jaguars CBs
Pittman (95 rec, 1,000+ yds) thrives in zone (JAX 52% usage); mismatches if Thomas Jr. limited—targets spike to 10+ for 80+ yds.
Team Records and Standings Context
Colts: 8-4 (T-1st AFC South, .667 win%). 4th in AFC wild-card. Offense: No. 1 pts scored (29.8/g), No. 6 passing (241/g), No. 6 rushing (134.4/g). Defense: No. 9 pts allowed (20.8/g).
Jaguars: 8-4 (T-1st AFC South, .667 win%). 5th in AFC wild-card. Offense: No. 11 pts (24.3/g), No. 15 passing (202.8/g), No. 5 rushing (123.3/g). Defense: No. 12 pts allowed (21.1/g), No. 1 rush (82.4/g).
Recent Team Forms
Colts cool off after hot start; Jaguars heat up with balanced wins.
Colts Last 5 Games (2-3):
| Date | Opponent | Result | Key Stats |
| Nov. 30 | vs. HOU | L 16-20 | Jones: 201 yds, TD; Taylor: 85 yds—missed PAT costs game. |
| Nov. 23 | @ KC | L 20-23 (OT) | Jones: 181 yds; Taylor: 58 yds—OT heartbreaker. |
| Nov. 9 | vs. ATL | W 31-25 (OT) | Jones: 212 yds, 2 TD; Pittman: 95 yds—Berlin thriller. |
| Nov. 2 | @ PIT | L 20-27 | Jones: 342 yds, 2 TD; turnovers (2 INT) sink. |
| Oct. 26 | vs. TEN | W 38-14 | Jones: 272 yds, 3 TD; Taylor: 153 yds—blowout. |
Jaguars Last 5 Games (4-1):
| Date | Opponent | Result | Key Stats |
| Nov. 30 | @ TEN | W 25-3 | Lawrence: 178 yds, TD; D holds to 188 total yds—shutout vibes. |
| Nov. 23 | @ ARI | W 27-24 (OT) | Lawrence: 256 yds, 2 TD; Etienne: 84 yds—road warrior. |
| Nov. 16 | vs. LAC | W 35-6 | Lawrence: 153 yds, 3 TD; D forces 3 TOs. |
| Nov. 9 | @ HOU | L 29-36 | Lawrence: 158 yds; secondary torched (412 yds allowed). |
| Nov. 2 | @ LV | W 30-29 (OT) | Lawrence: 220 yds, 2 TD; clutch OT win. |
Jaguars 4-1 SU last 5; Colts 0-2 when <100 rush yds.
Series History
The Colts hold the edge in this lopsided rivalry, but Jacksonville owns recent home tilts (3-1 last 4 at EverBank). All-time: Indianapolis leads 28-20. Last 5 meetings:
Jan. 5, 2025: Colts 26, Jaguars 23 (IND).
Oct. 6, 2024: Jaguars 37, Colts 34 (JAX).
Oct. 15, 2023: Jaguars 37, Colts 20 (JAX).
Sep. 10, 2023: Jaguars 31, Colts 21 (JAX).
Jan. 9, 2022: Jaguars 26, Colts 11 (JAX).
H2H avg. 45.2 total pts; overs hit 4/5 since 2023.
Betting Trends
Spread: Colts 7-5 ATS (58%); Jaguars 7-5 ATS (58%). IND 4-4 ATS as 1.5+ faves; JAX 3-4 ATS as dogs.
Total: Over in 6/12 Colts games (50%); 6/12 Jaguars (50%). Divisional overs 60% this year.
Key Trends: Jaguars 5-0 SU after road win; Colts 4-1 when Taylor 100+ yds. H2H: IND 2-3 SU last 5 but covers as fave.
Projected Score; Indianapolis Colts 27, Jacksonville Jaguars 24
COLTS NOTES:
• COLTS lead NFL with 29.8 points per game. • QB DANIEL JONES passed for 201 yards & 2 TDs with 101 rating in Week 13. Has 60+ comp. pct., 225+ pass yards & TD pass in 4 of his 5 games on road in 2025. Completed 19 of 30 atts. (63.3 pct.) for 202 yards & had 2 TDs (1 pass, 1 rush) in only career start vs. Jax. (10/23/22 w/ NYG). • RB JONATHAN TAYLOR had 121 scrimmage yards (85 rush, 36 rec.) last week. Aims for his 7th in row vs. division with 110+ scrimmage yards. Had 180 scrimmage yards (177 rush, 3 rec.) & rush TD in last meeting. • WR MICHAEL PITTMAN has rec. TD in 5 of his past 6 on road. Had 6 catches for 72 yards in last meeting. • WR ALEC PIERCE had 4 catches for 78 yards & TD in Week 13. Has 75+ rec. yards & rec. TD in 2 of his past 3. Aims for his 3rd in row vs. Jax. with 55+ rec. yards & rec. TD. • TE TYLER WARREN had rec. TD last week. Leads rookies in receptions (58) & ranks 3rd with 684 yards. • LB ZAIRE FRANKLIN led team with 13 tackles in Week 13. Aims for his 4th in row with 10+ tackles. Has PD in 3 of his past 4 vs. Jax. Had 8 tackles, sack & PD in last meeting. • LB GERMAINE PRATT had 9 tackles, FF & PD last week. Aims for his 5th in row with PD & 3rd in row vs. Jax. with 9+ tackles & TFL. • DT GROVER STEWART had 3 tackles & PD in Week 13. Had 7 tackles & TFL in last meeting. • DT ADETOMIWA ADEBAWORE had 4 tackles & sack last week. Aims for his 3rd in row with 0.5+ sacks. • CB MEKHI BLACKMON had 4 tackles & PD last week. Has 5+ tackles in 4 of his past 5 on road. • S CAMRYN BYNUM had 6 tackles, TFL & INT in Week 13. Had INT in only career game vs. Jax. (11/10/24 w/ Min.).
JAGUARS NOTES:
• QB TREVOR LAWRENCE passed for 229 yards & 2 TDs with 111.5 rating in Week 13. Aims for his 3rd in row with 225+ pass yards & 2+ TD passes. Completed 28 of 34 atts. (82.4 pct.) for 371 yards & 2 TDs with 119.5 rating in his last game vs. Ind. (10/6/24). • RB TRAVIS ETIENNE had 41 scrimmage yards (28 rush, 13 rec.) last week. Has 70+ scrimmage yards & TD in 3 of his past 4. Aims for his 6th in row vs. Ind. with 60+ scrimmage yards. • RB BHAYSHUL TUTEN (rookie) had rush TD in Week 13. • WR JAKOBI MEYERS led team with 6 catches for 90 yards & rec. TD last week. Aims for his 3rd in row with 50+ rec. yards & rec. TD. Has 5+ catches in 3 of his past 4 vs. Ind. • WR BRIAN THOMAS JR. had 28 rec. yards in Week 13. Aims for his 3rd in row vs. Ind. with 5+ catches & 100+ rec. yards. • TE BRENTON STRANGE had 1st rec. TD of season last week. Aims for his 3rd in row with 45+ rec. yards. Had 60 rec. yards in last meeting. • LB FOYESADE OLUOKUN had 6 tackles in Week 13. Aims for his 6th in row overall with 5+ tackles & 5th in row vs. Ind. with 10+ tackles. Needs 4 tackles for his 6th season with 100+ tackles. • LB DEVIN LLOYD led team with 8 tackles last week. Has TFL in 2 of his past 3. Had 6 tackles, 2 TFL & sack in last meeting. • LB VENTRELL MILLER had 1st FF of season in Week 13. Had 7 tackles & TFL in his last game vs. Ind. (10/6/24). • DE JOSH HINES-ALLEN had 3 tackles & 2 sacks last week. Has sack in 4 of his past 5. Aims for his 4th in row vs. Ind. with sack. • DL AUSTIN JOHNSON had 1st sack & FF of season in Week 13. Had INT in his last game vs. Ind. (11/10/24 w/ Buf.). • S ANDREW WINGARD had 3 tackles & 2 PD last week. Aims for his 5th in row with PD.
Game Odds
Indianapolis Colts – 1.5
Jacksonville Jaguars 48.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Saturday, December 6, 2025
