Venue & Game Info
Location: Clemens Stadium, Collegeville, Minnesota
Kickoff: 12:00 PM CT
Capacity: ~7,500 (outdoor stadium)
Weather Forecast: Cold, ~34°F, cloudy skies, NW winds 12–15 mph, chance of light snow flurries
Broadcast: NCAA.com / ESPN+
Injury Report
Saint John’s (MN): QB Aaron Syverson (shoulder soreness) probable; RB Henry Trost (ankle) questionable.
Monmouth (IL): WR Nathan Thornton (hamstring) probable; LB Jack O’Donnell (knee) out for season.
Key Player Matchups
Quarterbacks:
Saint John’s: Aaron Syverson – 2,785 yards, 27 TD, 6 INT
Monmouth: Carter Boyer – 2,345 yards, 21 TD, 8 INT
Running Backs:
Saint John’s: Henry Trost – 1,045 yards, 12 TD (questionable)
Monmouth: Devin Lawrence – 987 yards, 9 TD
Receivers:
Saint John’s: Jimmy Buck – 865 yards, 8 TD
Monmouth: Nathan Thornton – 1,102 yards, 10 TD (probable)
Defensive Leaders:
Saint John’s: LB Ethan Stark – 102 tackles, 7 sacks
Monmouth: DL Jack O’Donnell – 88 tackles, 9 sacks (injured)
Recent Team Form
Saint John’s:
W vs Bethel (28-24)
W vs Gustavus Adolphus (35-21)
L vs St. Olaf (31-20)
W vs Concordia-Moorhead (42-14)
W vs Carleton (38-17)
Monmouth:
W vs Illinois College (27-24)
W vs Knox (35-14)
L vs Lake Forest (31-28)
W vs Ripon (41-10)
W vs Beloit (38-17)
Series History
First-ever postseason meeting between Saint John’s and Monmouth.
Programs have not met in regular season play, making this a fresh matchup.
Betting Trends
Saint John’s has covered in 4 of last 5 games.
Monmouth is 3-2 ATS in last 5, but struggled against nationally ranked opponents.
Saint John’s games trend under due to strong defense; Monmouth games trend over due to offensive shootouts.
Historical Betting Results
Saint John’s covered vs Bethel (-3.5), winning 28–24.
Monmouth failed to cover vs Lake Forest (+2.5), losing 31–28.
Saint John’s 7–3 ATS in playoff games since 2020.
Monmouth 5–3 ATS in playoff games since 2019.
Projected Score: Saint John’s 31 – Monmouth 20
Reasoning: Saint John’s balanced offense and MIAC-tested defense should control the game. Monmouth’s upset potential hinges on Boyer’s passing efficiency and Thornton’s big-play ability, but Saint John’s depth and postseason pedigree make them strong favorites.
Final Take: Expect a physical, defensive-minded playoff clash. Saint John’s MIAC championship pedigree meets Monmouth’s MWC grit, with the Johnnies favored to advance at home in Collegeville.
Game Odds
Saint John’s (MN) Jonnies – 10.5
Monmouth (IL) Fighting Scots 49
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, November 28, 2025
