Venue & Timing
Location: Zia Park Racetrack, Hobbs, New Mexico
Race: New Mexico Classic Oaks (Race 9)
Post Time: 3:38 PM MT
Distance & Surface: 1 mile and 70 yards, dirt
Purse: $150,000
Weather & Track Conditions
Forecast: Clear skies, temperatures in the mid‑50s, light winds.
Track outlook: Dirt expected to play fast, favoring tactical speed and stalkers.
Runner-by-Runner Analysis
Storm’s Promise — Post 1 — Tohill/Fincher — ML 2/1
Profile: By Attila’s Storm; sharp maiden and allowance wins.
Strengths: Rail draw, tactical speed, Fincher barn excels in NM‑bred stakes.
Risks: Must break cleanly; vulnerable if pace collapses.
Marking’s Jewel — Post 2 — Fuentes/Fincher — ML 5/2
Profile: By Marking; improving filly with strong allowance win.
Strengths: Tactical speed, upside.
Risks: Faces deeper field; must prove consistency.
Abstraction’s Lass — Post 3 — Hebert/Cross — ML 6/1
Profile: By Abstraction; consistent allowance runner.
Strengths: Can stalk pace; improving.
Risks: Needs career‑best effort.
Desert Belle — Post 4 — Gonzalez/Buechler — ML 8/1
Profile: By Desert Code; modest record.
Strengths: Can grind into exotics.
Risks: Outclassed against top tier.
Jewel Canyon — Post 5 — Juarez/Duree — ML 10/1
Profile: By Jewel’s Mark; modest record.
Strengths: Veteran jockey; can stalk pace.
Risks: Needs big step forward.
Right Rigger’s Lady — Post 6 — Andrade/Gonzalez — ML 12/1
Profile: By Right Rigger; outsider.
Strengths: Light impost; potential upside.
Risks: Form suggests longshot status.
Bernster’s Charm — Post 7 — Medellin/Hernandez — ML 15/1
Profile: By Bernster; outsider.
Strengths: Can press pace.
Risks: Outclassed.
