FBS-CFB Game Preview: Nevada Wolf Pack (1-5) vs. New Mexico Lobos (3-3)

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Venue & Game Details

Location: University Stadium, Albuquerque, NM

Kickoff: 9:45 p.m. ET / 7:45 p.m. MT

Broadcast: FS1 / Fubo streaming

Weather Forecast: ~67°F at kickoff, partly cloudy, light winds 6–9 mph,

Team Recent Form

Nevada Wolf Pack:

Last game: Lost 44–10 to San Diego State.

Trend: Offense averaging 14.5 PPG (133rd nationally), defense allowing 28.7 PPG (99th).

Struggles: Passing game ranks 127th (149.0 YPG).

New Mexico Lobos:

Last game: Lost 41–25 to Boise State.

Trend: Offense averaging 29.2 PPG (66th nationally), defense allowing 27.0 PPG (90th).

Strength: Passing attack (232.3 YPG, 67th nationally).

Injury Report

Nevada: QB Chubba Purdy – Healthy (494 yards, 1 TD, 8 INTs, 51.9% completion); RB Purdy also leads team in rushing (292 yards, 2 TDs). WR Marcus Bellon – Healthy (193 yards, 1 TD).

New Mexico: QB Jack Layne – Healthy (1,277 yards, 8 TDs, 8 INTs, 66.7% completion); RB Damon Bankston – Healthy (307 yards, 3 TDs); WR Keagan Johnson – Healthy (364 yards, 2 TDs).

Key Player Matchups

QB Jack Layne (UNM): Dual-threat but turnover-prone (8 INTs).

RB Damon Bankston (UNM): 307 yards, 3 TDs – key to balance.

WR Keagan Johnson (UNM): 364 yards, 2 TDs – top target.

QB Chubba Purdy (Nevada): 494 yards, 1 TD, 8 INTs – must limit turnovers.

WR Marcus Bellon (Nevada): 193 yards, 1 TD – deep threat.

Series History

Nevada leads the all-time series 5–2.

Last meeting: Nevada won 34–24 in 2022.

New Mexico last beat Nevada in 2008.

Betting Trends:

New Mexico is 3-3 ATS this season, 1-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite.

Nevada is 2-4 ATS, 2-0 ATS as a double-digit underdog.

The Over has hit in 4 of 6 New Mexico games, but only 2 of 6 Nevada games.

Historical Betting Results

New Mexico has covered in 1 of last 3 games.

Nevada has covered in 2 of last 3 games.

Average combined score in last 3 Nevada games: 47.5 points (just under O/U).

Average combined score in last 3 New Mexico games: 56.8 points (over O/U).

Summary

This Mountain West clash pits Nevada’s struggling offense (14.5 PPG, 133rd FBS) against New Mexico’s balanced attack led by QB Jack Layne and RB Damon Bankston. Both teams have turnover issues (Nevada -11, UNM -10 in turnover margin), but New Mexico’s offensive efficiency and home-field advantage should prevail.

Game Odds

Nevada Wolf Pack           48.5

New Mexico Lobos          – 11.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 17, 2025

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