FBS-CFB Game Preview: TCU Horned Frogs (6-4) vs. Houston Cougars (8-2)

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Venue & Event Details

Location: TDECU Stadium, Houston, TX

Kickoff: 4:00 PM ET

Broadcast: FOX

Capacity: ~40,000

Weather Forecast

Temperature: 67°F at kickoff, dropping into low 60s by evening

Conditions: Clear skies, winds 6–9 mph

Impact: Ideal conditions for both passing and rushing

Injury Report

TCU Horned Frogs:

QB Josh Hoover (healthy, 2,873 yards, 23 TDs, 10 INTs, 64% completion)

RB Kevorian Barnes (healthy, 443 yards, 3 TDs)

WR Eric McAlister (healthy, 941 yards, 8 TDs)

Houston Cougars:

QB Conner Weigman (healthy, 2,113 yards, 18 TDs, 7 INTs, 64.9% completion)

RB Dean Connors (healthy, 725 yards, 4 TDs)

WR Amare Thomas (healthy, 737 yards, 8 TDs)

Key Player Matchups

Josh Hoover (TCU QB) vs Houston Secondary: Hoover’s high-volume passing (291.4 YPG, 13th nationally) against a defense allowing just 197.6 YPG (41st nationally).

Dean Connors (Houston RB) vs TCU Front Seven: Connors’ consistency (725 yards) against a defense ranked 36th nationally in rush defense (127.3 YPG allowed).

Eric McAlister (TCU WR) vs Amare Thomas (Houston WR): Both receivers are explosive playmakers (8 TDs each), likely to decide momentum swings.

Recent Team Forms

TCU: Lost 44–13 vs BYU (Nov. 15); Hoover threw for 183 yards, 2 INTs, McAlister had 107 yards receiving.

Houston: Beat UCF 30–27 (Nov. 7); Weigman threw for 223 yards, 2 TDs, 3 INTs, Thomas had 103 yards receiving.

Series History

All-time: Houston leads 14–12.

Recent: TCU won 36–13 in 2023; Houston last won 27–24 in 2007.

Betting Trends:

Houston is 7–3 ATS this season.

TCU is 4–5–1 ATS.

Houston’s last 5 games as a favorite have all gone over.

TCU has struggled on the road (2–3 record).

Historical Betting Results

Houston has covered in 4 of last 6 games.

TCU has failed to cover in 3 of last 5.

Overs have hit in 4 of last 5 Houston games.

Prediction: Houston 31 – TCU 24

Game Odds

TCU Horned Frogs            – 1.5

Houston Cougars             55.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, November 21, 2025