FBS-CFB Game Preview: New Mexico Lobos (7-3) vs. Air Force Falcons (3-7)

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Venue & Event Details

Location: Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy, Colorado Springs, CO

Kickoff: 4:00 PM MST / 6:00 PM EST

Broadcast: CBS Sports Network

Weather Forecast

Temperature: 48°F at kickoff, dropping into low 40s by evening

Conditions: Clear skies, winds 10–12 mph

Impact: Thin air at altitude favors Air Force’s ground game; passing may be slightly affected by wind

Injury Report

New Mexico Lobos:

QB Jack Layne (healthy, 2,166 yards, 12 TDs, 9 INTs)

RB Damon Bankston (healthy, 461 yards, 4 TDs)

WR Keagan Johnson (healthy, 638 yards, 3 TDs)

Air Force Falcons:

QB Liam Szarka (healthy, 1,296 yards passing, 923 rushing yards, 13 rushing TDs)

RB Owen Allen (healthy, 122 yards vs UConn last week)

WR Cade Harris (healthy, 563 yards, 2 TDs)

Key Player Matchups

Liam Szarka (Air Force QB) vs New Mexico Front Seven: Szarka’s dual-threat rushing (923 yards, 13 TDs) against a Lobos defense ranked 18th nationally in rush defense (105.8 YPG allowed).

Jack Layne (New Mexico QB) vs Air Force Secondary: Layne’s passing (234.2 YPG, 12 TDs) against a Falcons defense ranked 131st nationally in pass defense (274.8 YPG allowed).

Damon Bankston (New Mexico RB) vs Air Force Linebackers: Bankston’s ability to balance the offense against a defense allowing 171.8 rushing YPG (105th nationally).

Recent Team Forms

New Mexico: Beat Colorado State 20–17 (Nov. 15); Layne threw for 226 yards, added a rushing TD.

Air Force: Lost 26–16 vs UConn (Nov. 15); Szarka limited to 34 passing yards, but Owen Allen rushed for 122 yards.

Series History

All-time: Air Force leads 24–12.

Recent: Air Force won 35–27 in 2024; New Mexico last won 34–31 in 2016.

Betting Trends:

New Mexico has won 4 of last 5 games.

Air Force has won 2 of last 5 games.

75% of public bets are on New Mexico, but 92% of money is on Air Force.

Historical Betting Results

Air Force has covered in 2 of last 5 games.

New Mexico has covered in 3 of last 5 games.

Unders have hit in 3 of last 4 head-to-head matchups.

Prediction: New Mexico 27 – Air Force 24

Game Odds

New Mexico Lobos          – 2.5

Air Force Falcons              52.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, November 21, 2025