Venue & Event Details
Location: Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC
Kickoff: 7:30 PM EST
Broadcast: ESPN
Weather Forecast
Temperature: Upper 40s °F at kickoff, dropping into low 40s by late evening
Conditions: Cloudy skies, winds 8–12 mph
Impact: Passing attacks may be slightly affected; rushing and short-yardage execution will be key
Injury Report
Florida State: WR Hollywood Smothers (healthy, 85.7% catch rate, 15th nationally); WR Micahi Danzy (healthy, 22.7 yards per reception, 2nd nationally).
NC State: Secondary depth thin after recent injuries; LB rotation missing one starter (ankle, doubtful).
Key Player Matchups
FSU WR Hollywood Smothers & Micahi Danzy vs NC State Secondary: Smothers’ reliability and Danzy’s explosive deep-threat ability are poised to exploit NC State’s porous pass defense (299.9 yards allowed per game, 136th nationally).
FSU QB Thomas Castellanos vs NC State Pass Rush: Castellanos’ mobility and ability to extend plays will test NC State’s front seven.
NC State QB Brennan Armstrong (or rotation) vs FSU Defense: NC State ranks 19th nationally in EPA per dropback, but FSU is one of the best defenses at limiting explosive pass plays.
Recent Team Forms
Florida State: Recorded a 74-point win earlier this season, largest margin in FBS; offense trending upward.
NC State: Defense has struggled, allowing 440.4 yards per game (127th nationally); offense efficient but reliant on explosive plays.
Series History
All-time: Florida State leads 28–15.
Recent trend: NC State has won 3 of last 5 meetings, including a 24–17 win in Raleigh in 2023.
At Carter-Finley: NC State has won 2 of last 3 home meetings.
Betting Trends:
FSU is 4–2 ATS in last 6 games.
NC State is 2–4 ATS in last 6 games.
Overs have hit in 3 of last 4 NC State games.
Historical Betting Results
Florida State has covered in 2 of last 3 vs NC State.
NC State has covered in 3 of last 5 home games.
Totals have gone under in 2 of last 3 head-to-head meetings.
Projected Score: Florida State 34 – NC State 20
Game Odds
Florida State Seminoles – 9.5
NC State Wolfpack 59.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Thursday, November 20, 2025
