Venue & Event Details
Event: UFC Vegas 111 – Bonfim vs. Brown
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Start Time: Preliminary card begins 2:00 PM PT (5:00 PM ET); McVey vs. Valentin expected on prelims
Injury Report
Jackson McVey: No reported injuries; enters camp healthy after July 2025 loss.
Robert Valentin: Cleared to fight; no significant training camp issues reported.
Fighter Matchups
Jackson McVey (USA, 26 years old)
Record: 6-1-0
Height/Reach: 6’4”, 77” reach
Stance: Southpaw
Style: Grappling-heavy, BJJ base, 6 first-round finishes
Strikes Landed: 1.12 per min, 26% accuracy
Strikes Absorbed: 1.95 per min, 22% defense
Takedowns: 0.0 per 15 min, 15% accuracy, 15% defense
Robert Valentin (Switzerland, 30 years old)
Record: 11-6-0 (1 NC)
Height/Reach: 6’2”, 77” reach
Stance: Orthodox
Style: Submission specialist, 7 career subs, 7 first-round finishes
Strikes Landed: 1.13 per min, 56% accuracy
Strikes Absorbed: 2.83 per min, 32% defense
Takedowns: 0.3 per 15 min, 15% accuracy, 55% defense
Recent Form
McVey: Lost to Brunno Ferreira (Rd 1 armbar, July 2025). Prior to that, 6 straight wins, all by finish.
Valentin: Lost to Ateba Gautier (Rd 1 KO, July 2025). On a 3-fight UFC skid, but dangerous early with submissions.
Fight History & Context
McVey is a prospect with size and grappling upside, but his defensive gaps were exposed in his UFC debut.
Valentin is more experienced, with 18 pro fights, but has struggled against higher-level strikers and has defensive lapses.
Both fighters are desperate for a win to secure their UFC roster spot.
Betting Trends
McVey: 6 of 7 career fights ended in Round 1.
Valentin: 13 of 18 career fights ended inside the distance.
Both fighters have low striking volume but high finishing rates.
Underdogs have cashed in 3 of last 5 UFC middleweight prelims at Apex cards.
Bottom Line: Expect a volatile, high-risk fight. McVey has the size and raw power, but Valentin’s experience and submission game make him the rightful favorite. The safest angle is betting the fight to end inside the distance, with a lean toward Valentin by early submission.
FIGHT ODDS
Jackson McVey + 245
Robert Valentin – 305
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, November 7, 2025
