Venue & Timing
Location: Aqueduct Racetrack, Queens, New York
Race: Key Cents Stakes (NYB) — Race 2
Post Time: 12:40 PM ET
Distance: 1 Mile (Turf)
Purse: $125,000
Weather & Track Conditions
Forecast: Clear skies, 54°F, winds 7 mph
Impact: Turf expected to remain firm, ideal for front-runners and tactical stalkers.
Field Analysis (Projected Entries & Post Positions)
Spirit of Esther — Jockey: Manuel Franco Trainer: Ilkay Kantarmaci
Recent Form: Consistent in allowance company, strong late kick.
Odds: 5/1
Strength: Closing speed, versatile running style.
Kyle’s Mom — Jockey: Jaime Rodriguez Trainer: Jeremiah Englehart
Recent Form: Maiden winner at Saratoga, lightly raced.
Odds: 6/1
Strength: Tactical speed, improving filly.
Bourbon N Lace — Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche Trainer: Michael Gorham
Recent Form: 2nd in allowance at Belmont, steady progression.
Odds: 8/1
Strength: Reliable pace presence, durable.
Cha Cha Wren — Jockey: Joel Rosario Trainer: Orlando Noda
Recent Form: Won maiden at Aqueduct, sharp turf debut.
Odds: 4/1
Strength: Strong turf pedigree, elite jockey.
Furry Fox — Jockey: Ricardo Santana Jr. Trainer: Chetram Bhigroog
Recent Form: Mid-pack finishes, needs pace collapse.
Odds: 12/1
Strength: Longshot closer, stamina.
That’sthefactjack — Jockey: Ruben Silvera Trainer: Domenick Schettino
Recent Form: 3rd in allowance, consistent but lacks punch.
Odds: 10/1
Strength: Honest effort, but limited upside.
Toxic Girl — Jockey: Sahin Civaci Trainer: Jose Jimenez
Recent Form: Maiden winner at Belmont, lightly raced.
Odds: 7/1
Strength: Upside potential, improving filly.
Summary
The Key Cents Stakes sets up as a tactical turf mile with Cha Cha Wren and Spirit of Esther as the top contenders. Kyle’s Mom offers value with improving form, while Toxic Girl is a live outsider. Expect a firm turf surface to favor tactical speed and strong closers.
