Venue & Game Details
Location: DATCU Stadium, Denton, TX
Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET / 2:30 p.m. CT
Broadcast: ESPN+
Weather Forecast: ~74°F at kickoff, partly cloudy, light winds 6–9 mph,
Team Recent Form
North Texas Mean Green:
Last game: Lost 63–36 to South Florida.
Trend: Offense averaging 43.3 PPG (6th nationally), defense allowing 27.2 PPG (93rd nationally).
Strength: Top-10 scoring offense and +7 turnover margin (5th nationally).
UTSA Roadrunners:
Last game: Dominated Rice 61–13.
Trend: Offense averaging 34.5 PPG (39th nationally), defense allowing 26.8 PPG (87th nationally).
Strength: Balanced attack, strong rushing game (180.8 YPG, 46th nationally).
Injury Report
North Texas: No major injuries reported; QB Drew Mestemaker and RB Caleb Hawkins healthy.
UTSA: No major injuries reported; QB Owen McCown and RB Robert Henry expected to start.
Key Player Matchups
QB Drew Mestemaker (UNT): 1,573 yards, 13 TDs, 3 INTs, 66.7% completion.
RB Caleb Hawkins (UNT): 356 yards, 7 TDs – red-zone finisher.
WR Miles Coleman (UNT): 320 yards, 1 TD – reliable possession receiver.
QB Owen McCown (UTSA): 1,221 yards, 12 TDs, 4 INTs, 64.1% completion.
RB Robert Henry (UTSA): 730 yards, 8 TDs – explosive runner.
WR Devin McCuin (UTSA): 341 yards, 4 TDs – top receiving option.
Series History
North Texas leads the all-time series 6–5.
Last meeting (2024): UTSA won 37–29.
The series has been tightly contested, with 7 of the last 10 games decided by one score.
Betting Trends:
North Texas is 4-2 ATS this season, 3-1 ATS as a favorite.
UTSA is 3-3 ATS, 1-0 ATS as an underdog.
The Over has hit in 4 of 6 games for both teams.
Historical Betting Results
North Texas has covered in 2 of last 3 games.
UTSA has covered in 2 of last 3 games.
Average combined score in last 3 UNT games: 60.5 points (under current O/U).
Average combined score in last 3 UTSA games: 54.8 points (well under current O/U).
Score Projection: North Texas 34 – UTSA 31
Summary
This AAC showdown features two of the league’s most explosive offenses. North Texas boasts a top-10 scoring unit led by QB Drew Mestemaker and RB Caleb Hawkins, while UTSA counters with dual-threat QB Owen McCown and RB Robert Henry’s power running. Expect a high-scoring, back-and-forth battle where turnovers and red-zone efficiency decide the outcome.
Game Odds
UTSA Roadrunners 67.5
North Texas Mean Green – 4.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 17, 2025
