FBS-CFB Game Preview: Utah State Aggies (4-3) vs. New Mexico Lobos (4-3)

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Venue & Game Info

Stadium: University Stadium, 1414 University Blvd SE, Albuquerque, NM 87106

Kickoff: 3:00 PM ET (1:00 PM MT local)

Broadcast: MW Network / ESPN+

Weather Forecast: Sunny, 71°F at kickoff, light winds (6–8 mph), no precipitation expected.

Team Recent Form

Utah State Aggies:

Last game: 30-25 win vs. San Jose State

Offense: 34.0 PPG, 428.4 YPG (265.6 pass, 162.9 rush)

Defense: 31.6 PPG allowed, 449.3 YPG allowed (127th vs. pass, 113th vs. run)

Strength: QB Bryson Barnes’ efficiency and explosive WR corps.

New Mexico Lobos:

Last game: 24-22 win vs. Nevada

Offense: 28.4 PPG, 366.1 YPG (218.9 pass, 147.3 rush)

Defense: 26.3 PPG allowed, 372.7 YPG allowed (31st vs. run, 116th vs. pass)

Strength: Balanced attack, strong front seven against the run.

Injury Report

Utah State: No major injuries reported; defense remains thin in secondary.

New Mexico: No significant absences; QB Jack Layne fully active.

Key Player Matchups

QB Bryson Barnes (USU): 1,644 yards, 13 TD, 2 INT, 65.1% completion; also 200+ rushing yards.

RB Miles Davis (USU): 466 yards, 3 TD – steady ground option.

WR Braden Pegan (USU): 546 yards, 4 TD – deep threat.

QB Jack Layne (UNM): 1,415 yards, 8 TD, 8 INT, 66.3% completion; adds mobility (73 rush yards, 2 TD).

RB Scottre Humphrey (UNM): 339 yards, 5 TD – red-zone weapon.

TE Dorian Thomas (UNM): 404 yards, 4 TD – reliable target.

Series History

All-time: Utah State leads 15–13.

Recent: Utah State has won 3 of last 4 vs. New Mexico.

Last meeting: Utah State 44, New Mexico 41 (2024).

Betting Trends

Utah State: 6-1 ATS this season; 3-0 ATS as underdog of 3+ points.

New Mexico: 3-4 ATS; 1-2 ATS as favorite of 3+ points.

Totals: Utah State 4 of 7 OVER; New Mexico 4 of 7 OVER.

Head-to-Head: Utah State 3-1 SU last 4 vs. New Mexico; ATS split 2-2.

Projection: Utah State 34 – New Mexico 31

Game Odds

Utah State Aggies            52

New Mexico Lobos          – 3

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 24, 2025