CIS-CFB Game Preview: Guelph Gryphons (3-5) vs. Western Mustangs (7-1)

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Venue & Start Time

  • Stadium: Western Alumni Stadium, London, Ontario
  • Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
  • Broadcast: OUA.tv / CBC Gem

Weather Forecast (London, ON)

  • Conditions: Partly cloudy, crisp fall afternoon
  • Temperature: ~51°F (10°C) at kickoff
  • Wind: NW at 10–12 mph
  • Precipitation: 0% chance of rain
  • Impact: Mild wind could affect long field goals and deep passing

Injury Report

  • Guelph Gryphons:
    • QB Tristan Aboud – Probable (ankle)
    • RB Isaiah Smith – Available
    • WR depth thin after midseason injuries
  • Western Mustangs:
  • QB Evan Hillock – Available
  • RB Seth Robertson – Probable (shoulder)
  • OL intact, no major absences

Key Player Matchups

  • QB Tristan Aboud (Guelph) vs. QB Evan Hillock (Western): Aboud threw for 231 yards in the Week 1 meeting, but Hillock’s efficiency (242 yards, 3 TDs) powered Western’s 53–33 win.
  • RB Isaiah Smith (Guelph) vs. RB Seth Robertson (Western): Smith is Guelph’s workhorse, while Robertson provides balance to Western’s high-powered offense.
  • WR Marshall McCray (Guelph) vs. WR Jack Kelly (Western): McCray’s 130 yards in Week 1 showed his explosiveness, but Kelly’s 121 yards and TDs gave Western the edge.
  • Defensive Fronts: Guelph must pressure Hillock, while Western’s D-line looks to contain Smith.

Team Recent Form

  • Guelph:
    • Points For: 26.3 Points Against: 31.4
    • Last 5: W vs. York 34–27, L vs. Queen’s 17–27, W vs. Carleton 55–28, L vs. McMaster 15–25, L vs. Ottawa 23–30
  • Western:
  • Points For: 44.1 Points Against: 20.5
  • Last 5: W vs. York, W vs. Windsor, W vs. McMaster, L vs. Queen’s (OT), W vs. Ottawa

Series History

  • All-time: Western leads comfortably, with multiple Yates Cup titles in the past decade.
  • 2025 Season: Western beat Guelph 53–33 on Aug. 31.
  • Trend: Western has won 7 of the last 8 meetings.

Betting Trends

  • Western: 6–2 ATS this season.
  • Guelph: 3–5 ATS, but 2–1 ATS as double-digit underdogs.
  • Over has hit in 4 of last 5 head-to-head games.

Historical Betting Results

  • 2025 Week 1: Western -14.5, won 53–33 → Cover, Over
  • 2024 Regular Season: Western -17.5, won 45–20 → Cover, Over
  • 2023 Playoffs: Western -21.5, won 41–13 → Cover, Under

Final Score Prediction: Western 41 – Guelph 20

Game Odds

Guelph Gryphons            56

Western Mustangs          – 17.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, October 24, 2025

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