NFL Game Preview: Washington Commanders (3-3) vs. Dallas Cowboys (2-3-1)

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Venue & Game Info

Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET (3:25 p.m. CT)

Broadcast: FOX: Kevin Burkhardt, Tom Brady, Erin Andrews (field reporter), Tom Rinaldi (field reporter)

Surface: Retractable roof turf

Weather Forecast

Temperature: ~72°F outside

Conditions: Clear skies, light winds

Impact: Minimal — roof likely closed, ensuring ideal passing conditions

Injury Report

Commanders

WR Terry McLaurin (quad) – Questionable

WR Noah Brown (groin) – Questionable

WR Deebo Samuel (heel) – Expected to play

DT Eddie Goldman (illness) – Questionable

DE Dorance Armstrong (hamstring) – Questionable

Cowboys

WR CeeDee Lamb (ankle) – Questionable, trending toward return

WR KaVontae Turpin (foot) – Questionable

OT Ajani Cornelius (knee) – Questionable

LB Jack Sanborn (concussion) – Questionable

WR Jonathan Mingo (knee, IR) – Out

Player Matchups

Jayden Daniels (WAS) vs. Dak Prescott (DAL): Daniels (7 TD, 1 INT, 176 rush yds) brings dual-threat explosiveness, while Prescott (1,617 yds, 13 TD, 3 INT) is second in the NFL in passing yards.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (WAS) vs. Cowboys Run Defense: Washington’s RB faces a Dallas unit giving up 174.7 rush yds/game over the last three weeks.

George Pickens (DAL) vs. Commanders Secondary: Pickens (525 yds) is Prescott’s top target, especially with Lamb banged up.

Deebo Samuel (WAS) vs. Cowboys CBs: Samuel’s versatility could stress a Dallas defense ranked last in DVOA.

Team Recent Form

Commanders: Lost 25-24 to Chicago in Week 6; previously beat Chargers and Raiders. Offense averaging 26.3 PPG.

Cowboys: Lost 30-27 to Carolina; tied Packers 40-40 earlier. Offense averaging 29.7 PPG but defense has allowed an NFC-worst 184 points.

Series History

All-time: Cowboys lead 79–49–2

Recent: Commanders won last meeting (Jan. 2025, 23-19)

Trend: Dallas has won 23 of 33 since 2008, but Washington has momentum after last year’s split

Betting Trends

Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in last 8 vs. Commanders

Over is 13-6 in last 19 meetings

Commanders are 1-7 ATS in last 8 vs. Cowboys

Over is 9-3 in Cowboys’ last 12 home games

Projection: Cowboys 34, Commanders 31

COMMANDERS NOTES:

• QB JAYDEN DANIELS passed for 211 yards & 3 TDs with 119.2 rating & had 52 rush yards in Week 6, his 4th-career game with 3+ TD passes. Has 17 TDs (13 pass, 4 rush) vs. 2 INTs for 104 rating in 10 career road starts. Aims for his 5th in row on road with 0 INTs. • RB JACORY CROSKEY-MERRITT (rookie) rushed for 61 yards last week. Aims for his 4th in row with 50+ scrimmage yards. • WR TERRY MCLAURIN aims for his 4th in row on road with 5+ catches. Had 8 catches for 62 yards & TD in last meeting. Aims for his 3rd in row vs. Dal. with TD catch & 6th in row vs. Dal. with 50+ rec. yards. • WR DEEBO SAMUEL has 6+ catches & rec. TD in each of his 3 road games in 2025 & aims for his 5th in row on road with TD catch. Has 337 scrimmage yards (84.3 per game) & rush TD in 4 career games vs. Dal., incl. playoffs. • WR LUKE MCCAFFREY has TD catch in 3 of his past 4. • TE ZACH ERTZ had team-high 6 catches & 3rd rec. TD of season last week. Needs 5 catches to become 6th TE all-time with 800 career receptions. Had 5+ catches & rec. TD in both games vs. Dal. in 2024. • LB BOBBY WAGNER had 9 tackles & TFL last week. Ranks 2nd in NFL with 65 tackles in 2025. Aims for his 4th in row on road with 10+ tackles. Aims for his 4th in row vs. Dal. with 8+ tackles & TFL. • LB FRANKIE LUVU has sack in 2 of his past 3. Has 6 PD in 4 career games vs. Dal. Aims for his 3rd in row vs. Dal. with TFL. • LB VON MILLER has 0.5+ sacks in 4 of his past 5 & leads all active players with 133 career sacks. • DE DORANCE ARMSTRONG has 0.5+ sacks in 5 of 6 games this season. Has 11 TFL in his past 10. Had 23.5 sacks in 6 seasons (2018-23) with Dal. • CB TREY AMOS ranks tied-1st among rookies with 5 PD. • S QUAN MARTIN had 1st 2 PD of season last week.

COWBOYS NOTES:

• QB DAK PRESCOTT passed for 261 yards & 3 TDs vs. 0 INTs for 124.8 rating in Week 6. Can become 3rd player since 2000 (Andrew Luck & Russell Wilson) with 3+ TD passes & 120+ rating in 4 straight games. Leads NFL in completions (164) & ranks 2nd in pass yards (1,617) & TD passes (13) in 2025. Has 2+ TD passes in 9 of his past 11 at home. Has 19 TDs (17 pass, 2 rush) vs. 0 INTs for 125.7 rating in 6 career home starts vs. Was. Aims for his 4th in row at home vs. Was. with 4+ TD passes & 5th in row at home vs. Was. with 120+ rating. • RB JAVONTE WILLIAMS had 5 catches last week. Ranks tied-3rd in NFL with 5 rush TDs & 4th with 476 rush yards this season. Aims for his 3rd in row at home with 100+ scrimmage yards & rush TD. • WR CEEDEE LAMB has 100+ rec. yards in 4 of his past 5. Has 5 rec. TDs in his past 5 vs. Was. Aims for his 3rd in row vs. Was. with 10+ catches. • WR GEORGE PICKENS had career-high 9 catches for 168 yards & rec. TD last week. Has TD catch in 5 straight games, longest active streak in NFL. Ranks tied-1st in rec. TDs (6) & 3rd in rec. yards (525) in 2025. Had 91 rec. yards & TD catch in his only career game vs. Was. (11/10/24 w/ Pit.). • TE JAKE FERGUSON had 4th TD catch of season last week & aims for his 4th in row with rec. TD. Has 5+ catches in 5 of 6 games in 2025 & ranks tied-3rd in NFL with 44 receptions this season. • LB KENNETH MURRAY aims for his 7th in row with 5+ tackles. Had 10 tackles, FF & half sack in his last game vs. Was. (12/1/24 w/ Ten.). • LB SHEMAR JAMES (rookie) led team with 11 tackles last week & aims for his 3rd in row with 10+ tackles. • DE JAMES HOUSTON aims for his 3rd in row at home with sack. • DE DONOVAN EZEIRUAKU (rookie) had 1st-career FF last week. • CB TREVON DIGGS has INT in each of his 2 career home games vs. Was. • S DONOVAN WILSON had 2nd INT of season last week, his 8th-career INT.

Game Odds

Washington Commanders           54

Dallas Cowboys                                – 1

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Saturday, October 18, 2025