FBS-CFB Game Preview: TCU Horned Frogs (4-1) vs. Kansas State Wildcats (2-4)

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Venue & Game Details

Stadium: Bill Snyder Family Stadium (Capacity: 50,000)

Location: Manhattan, Kansas

Kickoff Time: 3:30 PM ET / 2:30 PM CT

Broadcast: FOX

Weather Forecast (Manhattan, KS)

Conditions: Mostly sunny, breezy

Kickoff Temp: 69°F (21°C)

Wind: 10–14 mph (SW)

Precipitation: 0% chance

Impact: Excellent football weather; wind could influence special teams and deep passing.

Injury Report

TCU Horned Frogs: No major injuries reported.

Kansas State Wildcats: No major injuries reported.

(Both teams enter this matchup relatively healthy, which is rare for midseason.)

Key Player Matchups

QB Josh Hoover (TCU) vs. Kansas State Secondary

Hoover: 1,517 yards, 15 TDs, 4 INTs, 67.3% completion

K-State Pass Defense: Allowing 208.3 YPG (#61 FBS).

WR Eric McAlister (TCU) vs. CB Jacob Parrish (K-State)

McAlister: 385 yards, 5 TDs on 17 catches.

Parrish: 2 INTs, physical cover corner.

QB Avery Johnson (K-State) vs. TCU Pass Defense

Johnson: 1,358 yards, 10 TDs, 2 INTs, 62.9% completion; also 209 rushing yards, 3 TDs

TCU Pass Defense: Allowing 249.2 YPG (#109 FBS).

WR Jayce Brown (K-State) vs. TCU Safeties

Brown: 390 yards, 3 TDs.

TCU Secondary: Prone to giving up explosive plays.

RB Kevorian Barnes (TCU) vs. K-State Front Seven

Barnes: 204 yards, 1 TD.

K-State Run Defense: Allowing 167.7 YPG (#109 FBS).

Recent Team Form

TCU Horned Frogs

Last game: Defeated Colorado 35-21.

Offense: 437.2 YPG (#37), 36.8 PPG (#28).

Defense: 380 YPG allowed (#86), 21.4 PPG allowed (#56).

Strength: Top-15 passing offense (311.6 YPG).

Weakness: 116th nationally in 3rd down defense (44.3% allowed).

Kansas State Wildcats

Last game: Lost 35-34 to Baylor.

Offense: 369.7 YPG (#79), 27.5 PPG (#78).

Defense: 376 YPG allowed (#81), 26.8 PPG allowed (#93).

Strength: Red-zone offense (#23 nationally, 94.1% scoring).

Weakness: Run defense (#109 nationally).

Series History

All-Time Record: Kansas State leads 10-8.

Current Streak: Kansas State has won 2 straight (2022 Big 12 title game, 2023 regular season).

Last Meeting: 2023 – Kansas State 41, TCU 3 (in Manhattan).

At Manhattan: Kansas State leads 6-3.

Notable: TCU’s last win in Manhattan came in 2017 (26-6).

Betting Trends

TCU:

3-1-1 ATS this season.

2-0 ATS as road favorite.

2 of 5 games Over.

Kansas State:

2-4 ATS this season.

1-0 ATS as home underdog.

3 of 6 games Over.

Head-to-Head:

Kansas State 6-4 in last 10 vs. TCU.

Last 3 meetings: K-State 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS.

Last year’s game (41-3 KSU) went Under.

Historical Betting Results

2023: K-State -6, covered (41-3).

2022 Big 12 Title: K-State +2, upset win (31-28 OT).

2022 Regular Season: TCU -3, covered (38-28).

2021: K-State +3, upset win (31-12).

2018: TCU -2, covered (14-13).

Projected Score: TCU 31, Kansas State 27

Game Odds

TCU Horned Frogs                            – 3

Kansas State Wildcats                   54.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 10, 2025