NAIA-CFB Game Preview: Morningside Mustangs (4-1) vs. Dakota Wesleyan Tigers (2-4)

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Venue & Game Details

Kickoff Time: 1:00 PM CDT

Venue: Joe Quintal Field, Mitchell, South Dakota

Weather Forecast (Mitchell, SD)

Temperature: 63°F at kickoff, warming to 68°F by late afternoon

Conditions: Mostly sunny with scattered clouds

Winds: 8–12 mph from the northwest

Impact: Mild crosswinds could affect special teams, but otherwise excellent football conditions

Injury Report (Projected)

(NAIA programs rarely release official injury reports; based on recent availability trends)

Morningside Mustangs:

RB2 questionable (ankle) – limited carries last week

Starting CB probable (shoulder) – expected to play

Dakota Wesleyan Tigers:

QB1 probable (concussion protocol) – cleared for practice, expected to start

WR1 questionable (hamstring) – game-time decision

Key Player Matchups

Morningside QB vs. DWU Secondary

Morningside’s QB has thrown for 1,200+ yards and 12 TDs through 5 games.

DWU’s secondary has allowed 240+ passing yards in 4 of 6 games.

DWU RB1 vs. Morningside Front Seven

DWU’s lead back averages 88 yards per game.

Morningside’s defense allows just 95 rushing yards per game (top-20 nationally).

Special Teams Edge

Morningside kicker is 7-for-8 on FGs this season.

DWU has struggled in coverage, allowing a punt return TD earlier this year.

Recent Team Form

Morningside (4–1):

W vs. Doane (42–14)

W vs. Hastings (38–17)

W vs. Concordia (31–21)

W vs. Mount Marty (45–10)

L vs. Benedictine (Top-5 opponent, 35–28)

Trend: Balanced offense (37.2 PPG) and stout defense (17.4 PPG allowed).

Dakota Wesleyan (2–4):

L vs. Dordt (41–20)

L vs. Northwestern (38–14)

W vs. Jamestown (28–21)

L vs. Concordia (35–17)

W vs. Briar Cliff (24–20)

L vs. Midland (31–14)

Trend: Inconsistent; offense averaging 19.0 PPG, defense allowing 31.5 PPG.

Team Records & Conference Context

Morningside: 4–1 overall, 3–0 GPAC (title contender, nationally ranked)

Dakota Wesleyan: 2–4 overall, 1–3 GPAC (mid-to-lower tier, fighting for respectability)

Series History

All-Time Series: Morningside leads 19–1 since joining the GPAC

Last Meeting (2024): Morningside won 49–14 in Sioux City, IA

Trend: Morningside has dominated the series, winning 19 straight; average margin of victory in last 5 meetings is +27.

Betting Trends:

Morningside is 3–2 ATS this season.

DWU is 2–4 ATS, covering both wins.

The Over has hit in 3 of Morningside’s 5 games.

Morningside is 7–1 ATS in last 8 vs. DWU.

Historical Betting Results:

Morningside has covered in 6 of last 7 meetings.

Average total points in last 3: 63.

Projected Final Score: Morningside 42, Dakota Wesleyan 17

Game Odds

Morningside Mustangs                 – 21

Dakota Wesleyan Tigers               56

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 10, 2025